TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x676a…a7c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.08
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.01
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$3,083.52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.79
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$193.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.05
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,128.41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$787.31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.67
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$813.68
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$345.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$120.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$27.19
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$62.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$134.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.5
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.7
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$415.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$157.26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$377.11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$403.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$38.26
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$146.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.74
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$491.51
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.75
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.53
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$161.82
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.59
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$342.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+354.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$655.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.