Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09eb95f347c8ca17d639371297175ed15f397c531e8ef13286382cda2a2595d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,472,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,472,529 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,790 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0222…8ff7backed Yes | 51c | 4,009,831$2,050,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959,291.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 50c | 516,027$259,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259,938.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 48c | 390,492$189,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,384.87 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 344,149$165,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,604.4 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 49c | 250,000$122,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,499.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 46c | 225,000$103,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,613.69 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 49c | 219,450$107,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,919.44 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 216,929$109,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,359.99 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 50c | 200,277$101,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,059.93 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 48c | 192,308$92,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,307.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 189,533$96,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,866.77 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 49c | 187,148$91,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,707.37 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 49c | 146,912$71,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,909.98 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 51c | 141,500$71,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,938.75 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 49c | 140,000$68,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,799.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 130,884$55,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,032.49 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 118,050$59,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,948.15 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 51c | 114,285$57,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,893 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 51c | 112,159$56,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,865.44 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,999.99 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 55c | 90,100$49,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,554.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 47c | 86,265$40,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,829.57 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 49c | 74,443$36,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,483.42 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 49c | 69,252$33,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,933.48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 49c | 66,318$32,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,762.07 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 48c | 66,000$31,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,879.99 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 50c | 61,852$30,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,912.19 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 48c | 58,977$28,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,371.57 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 51c | 58,824$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 51c | 57,087$28,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,843.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 50c | 56,637$28,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,318.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 48c | 55,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,600 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 51c | 51,464$26,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,315.11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 51c | 50,197$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,600.4 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.98 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 55c | 47,334$26,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,033.56 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 51c | 41,924$21,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,381.24 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 51c | 40,600$20,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,509 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 49c | 35,602$17,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,604.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 48c | 33,830$16,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,238.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 50c | 33,730$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 30c | 33,333$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.87 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 51c | 31,825$16,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,080 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 53c | 30,805$16,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,326.24 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed No | 48c | 30,553$14,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,665.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 50c | 30,433$15,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,087.84 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,899.99 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 51c | 29,453$14,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,977.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 48c | 29,260$14,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,044.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 52c | 28,827$14,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,836.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 0c | 27,667$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed No | 51c | 26,910$13,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,724.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 48c | 26,414$12,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,770 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…0172backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 49c | 23,301$11,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,883.51 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 49c | 23,202$11,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,482.12 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 52c | 22,735$11,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 48c | 22,222$10,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,666.56 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 50c | 20,644$10,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,310.58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 49c | 20,417$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 52c | 20,338$10,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,575.76 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 51c | 20,075$10,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,337.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked No | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400.3 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 52c | 19,700$10,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,296 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 50c | 19,570$9,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,785 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 50c | 19,449$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 51c | 19,173$9,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,762.59 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 17,080$8,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,506.35 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 46c | 17,000$7,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,179.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 48c | 16,134$7,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,418.53 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 15,604$8,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,179.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 51c | 13,770$7,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027.24 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 54c | 12,760$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,890.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 49c | 12,701$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,251 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 12,586$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,718.54 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed No | 50c | 11,725$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,874.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.88 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 50c | 10,871$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,401.02 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed No | 49c | 10,610$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 52c | 10,185$5,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,308.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 51c | 10,100$5,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,101.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 52c | 10,000$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed No | 51c | 9,820$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 48c | 9,704$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.17 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 53c | 9,435$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 9,425$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.74 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 50c | 9,408$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 52c | 8,400$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 50c | 8,180$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 52c | 7,790$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed No | 52c | 7,540$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2294backed Yes | 48c | 7,465$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 49c | 7,235$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.29 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.