TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8372…5223

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,065.61
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,819Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,441.79
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$330.73
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,096Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$5,862.83
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,128
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.24
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,915.49
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,942
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$394.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102,456.35
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$369.15
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.86
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30,549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$16,511.9
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,479Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,971.83
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39,213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$34,434.13
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134,843Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$76,385.1
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$1,712.92
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Southampton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20,273Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$15,337.57
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,009.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,008.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$127,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$127,489.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,221.43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74,955.51
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,073.06
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,212,388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$1,911,991.08
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$380,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$380,599.58
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$224,910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$161,646.74
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$56,000
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$116,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$147,843.77
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$411,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$411,466.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120,216.99
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72,562.25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$205,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$205,316.97
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$358,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$358,010.47
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,934Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$15,537.25
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$107,449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$107,673.69
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,445
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$264,426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$109,786.39
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$290,171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$203,941.64
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78,705Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$34,677.85
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$101,498.59
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$206,954Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47%+$97,174.01
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$359,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$359,493.97
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$148,929.51
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,686.98
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82,655Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+99%+$81,844.93
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,765.68
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$922,356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$267,643.73
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$156,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$156,069.44
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100,933.96
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101,368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$68,648.52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88,212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$43,658.06
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,282.95
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,914.62
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$173,999.99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,773.7
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$138,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$138,228.68
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,616.69
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75,115.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,029.95
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72,079.13
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49,953Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42,552.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$290,290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$250,753.44
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26,554Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25,512.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$145,908Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$48,636.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49,554.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44,199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40,800.96
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64,935.01
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,177.65
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$171,775Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$124,388.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93,804.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61,207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$46,173.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$85,787.09
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43,478Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$38,555.72
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$619,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$251,200.49
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$177,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$177,749.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.73
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,579.92
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,480
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10,499.97
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65,650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$45,621.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92,822.8
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$19,179.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$158,000
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$96,982.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$6,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,629.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.