Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x776956c5185fb6e9115e4a52fb0a8386172cae91d6812b447795fb171f478a69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof England, Argentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,825,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,199,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,825,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 8,830 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a4…b647backed England | 54c | 2,730,946$1,482,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482,430.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina | 47c | 1,837,744$864,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972,935.49 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Argentina | 46c | 1,200,001$550,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649,712.14 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed England | 54c | 979,970$527,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527,678.71 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Argentina | 46c | 923,265$423,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499,523.02 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Argentina | 45c | 860,583$391,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469,098.42 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed England | 54c | 742,263$402,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402,176.87 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked England | 54c | 599,998$322,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322,498.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…8a06backed England | 54c | 572,136$307,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307,523.03 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Argentina | 46c | 552,714$255,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297,062.43 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Argentina | 46c | 500,000$230,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270,000.01 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed England | 54c | 484,420$259,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259,500.74 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed England | 54c | 424,235$229,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229,232.2 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Argentina | 46c | 409,999$189,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,524.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked England | 54c | 399,998$214,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214,998.99 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Argentina | 46c | 388,166$179,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,994.11 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Argentina | 46c | 349,999$161,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,752.72 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Argentina | 73c | 338,521$248,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,239.28 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Argentina | 46c | 332,550$153,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,848.23 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Argentina | 46c | 322,314$147,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,855.34 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Argentina | 46c | 313,858$145,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,698.71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked England | 54c | 310,800$167,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,720.78 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Argentina | 46c | 300,000$137,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,749.96 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Argentina | 45c | 289,097$131,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,890.52 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…2084backed England | 54c | 280,717$152,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,288.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Argentina | 45c | 277,959$126,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,557.58 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked England | 54c | 261,900$140,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,621.92 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Argentina | 46c | 229,952$105,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,981.63 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed England | 54c | 221,529$120,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,179.42 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b8…430abacked England | 54c | 185,185$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Argentina | 46c | 181,817$83,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,806.23 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Argentina | 41c | 177,399$73,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,262.79 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed England | 54c | 173,212$93,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,101.28 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Argentina | 47c | 163,235$75,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,330.47 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked England | 54c | 161,436$86,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,709.77 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Argentina | 46c | 160,000$73,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,399.82 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked England | 52c | 158,432$83,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,110.73 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed England | 75c | 150,000$112,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,493.95 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed England | 54c | 144,785$77,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,828.16 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…2068backed Argentina | 62c | 143,629$89,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,878.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed England | 55c | 139,999$76,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,999.47 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed England | 54c | 135,000$72,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,562.25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…a2eabacked Argentina | 38c | 130,853$49,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,707.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked England | 54c | 129,784$70,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,009.02 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Argentina | 43c | 128,941$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,941.44 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…6781backed England | 76c | 128,800$98,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,160.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed England | 56c | 128,546$71,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,791.19 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Argentina | 24c | 120,271$28,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,958.94 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Argentina | 46c | 119,482$54,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,916.15 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…56e9backed Argentina | 46c | 116,968$53,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,747.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Argentina | 35c | 116,300$40,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,318.12 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed England | 56c | 115,194$65,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,026.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Argentina | 44c | 112,371$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,371.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked England | 54c | 111,111$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Argentina | 46c | 106,939$49,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,547.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Argentina | 46c | 106,772$49,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,532.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…18aebacked Argentina | 46c | 106,439$48,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,891.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Argentina | 48c | 104,177$50,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,006.38 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Argentina | 46c | 102,150$46,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,163.55 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…4df2backed England | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Argentina | 46c | 97,544$44,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,863.98 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Argentina | 47c | 96,225$45,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,976.93 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed England | 54c | 95,000$51,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,300 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Argentina | 45c | 95,000$43,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,849.9 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked England | 54c | 93,000$50,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,220 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Argentina | 46c | 91,998$42,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,914.55 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Argentina | 46c | 87,262$39,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,353.33 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Argentina | 46c | 84,464$38,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,610.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Argentina | 46c | 83,944$38,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,474.38 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed England | 54c | 80,000$43,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,399.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed England | 54c | 80,000$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,999.94 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked England | 9c | 75,758$7,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,078.04 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Argentina | 46c | 75,055$34,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,435.77 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed England | 54c | 74,029$40,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,160.53 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked England | 54c | 73,733$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed England | 54c | 72,757$39,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,288.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed England | 55c | 72,555$39,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,723.86 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Argentina | 46c | 72,277$33,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,692.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked England | 54c | 72,097$38,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,932.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Argentina | 40c | 70,000$27,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,270.71 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Argentina | 42c | 68,315$28,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,788.88 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed England | 54c | 66,870$36,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,277 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed England | 54c | 66,787$36,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,151.54 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Argentina | 47c | 66,647$30,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,656.15 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed England | 54c | 64,815$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed England | 55c | 64,359$35,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,670.88 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…84f0backed England | 54c | 63,231$33,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,986.62 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed England | 54c | 60,744$32,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,649.9 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…2065backed England | 54c | 60,701$32,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,626.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked England | 54c | 60,000$32,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,249.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed England | 73c | 56,735$41,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,478.81 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed England | 54c | 55,496$29,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,690.21 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Argentina | 46c | 55,000$25,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,700 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Argentina | 29c | 54,000$15,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,287.49 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Argentina | 46c | 53,841$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,841.1 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed England | 53c | 53,000$28,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,307.5 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed England | 66c | 52,765$34,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,897.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed England | 53c | 52,749$27,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,771.88 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…6e10backed England | 54c | 51,809$27,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,847.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Argentina | 46c | 50,440$23,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,237.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancethis page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.