TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79fb…47a0backed Over47c1,188$556 inWon+$631.722755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under53c906.91$482 inLost-$481.741,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under50c810.5$404 inLost-$404.1558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c630.38$315 inWon+$315.768,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Under52c180.81$94 inLost-$94.022853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under49c130.45$65 inLost-$64.543,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under53c120$64 inLost-$63.62,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over49c113.41$56 inWon+$57.3275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over51c98.24$50 inWon+$48.2423951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under52c75.41$39 inLost-$38.918653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Under52c65.23$34 inLost-$33.9217229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under53c50$27 inLost-$26.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dd…8294backed Over50c30$15 inWon+$159455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under53c30$16 inLost-$15.986656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b32…9bf8backed Under54c28.51$15 inLost-$15.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.