Spread: England (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9fba5c69db2d6ed43112bc93dda07388e3cca1cd18d576f9de4fc0511acc201

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Argentinaof England, Argentina
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,658,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,545,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,658,129 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed England	16c	299,999$48,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,999.78	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca5d…c370backed England	16c	258,463$40,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,297.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked England	16c	150,908$23,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,950	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked England	15c	109,441$16,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,330.05	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked England	16c	77,329$12,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,179.31	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+3.3wins	+0.37per pick	30cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked England	15c	76,286$11,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,442.97	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e55…8ffdbacked England	14c	71,665$10,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,337.2	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+4.7wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+48%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked England	15c	42,585$6,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,250	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed England	16c	40,880$6,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,390.25	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed England	15c	40,000$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,099.95	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-48%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed England	8c	30,000$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed England	15c	28,053$4,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,264.68	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed England	15c	25,000$3,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,781.3	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked England	15c	23,763$3,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,576.94	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked England	15c	22,871$3,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,430.59	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed England	15c	17,174$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England	9c	16,394$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,448.92	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed England	15c	15,333$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked England	17c	15,217$2,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,529.8	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed England	15c	15,000$2,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,212.5	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England	18c	14,509$2,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,660.93	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4049…aeaabacked England	16c	12,500$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked England	15c	11,488$1,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,723.27	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed England	15c	11,110$1,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.5	143	25.2%36 W · 107 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed England	17c	10,351$1,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,709.24	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed England	15c	10,000$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed England	15c	10,000$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed England	14c	10,000$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae4…299fbacked England	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79f6…8f75backed England	16c	10,000$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,549.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England	15c	9,969$1,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,511.15	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked England	15c	9,836$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed England	15c	9,313$1,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,397	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed England	21c	8,699$1,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,783.35	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed England	17c	8,564$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed England	16c	8,434$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.6	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae5d…ae85backed England	15c	8,226$1,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed England	15c	7,776$1,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.94	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b61…532ebacked England	14c	7,728$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.59	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed England	20c	7,500$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480.8	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed England	15c	7,000$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.5	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b3d…b162backed England	13c	7,000$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked England	14c	6,793$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.72	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed England	15c	6,593$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked England	16c	6,325$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x898f…3757backed England	14c	6,232$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e6…cfdfbacked England	15c	6,206$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked England	17c	5,882$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e2…5969backed England	16c	5,851$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.58	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed England	15c	5,606$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.24	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed England	0c	5,400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed England	16c	5,200$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33e1…b30fbacked England	15c	5,161$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked England	8c	5,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0366…a001backed England	14c	5,000$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb99…7364backed England	15c	4,963$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed England	15c	4,944$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.14	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed England	15c	4,925$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.43	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked England	14c	4,828$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed England	15c	4,478$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.64	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed England	14c	4,414$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb328…4447backed England	15c	4,400$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.5	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d1…9160backed England	15c	4,215$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed England	15c	4,137$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.59	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e2…41b6backed England	15c	4,000$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked England	22c	3,979$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.85	136	23.5%32 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed England	15c	3,899$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.9	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked England	15c	3,558$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed England	13c	3,542$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c5…4844backed England	15c	3,428$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.68	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed England	9c	3,424$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.04	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England	15c	3,357$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.17	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f9…1cfabacked England	14c	3,190$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.32	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed England	17c	3,129$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.74	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked England	14c	3,100$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.25	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc1…c168backed England	8c	3,052$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.16	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed England	15c	3,000$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed England	15c	3,000$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.5	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf89…6568backed England	1c	3,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed England	16c	3,000$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca2…44fcbacked England	9c	2,836$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed England	15c	2,829$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.3	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked England	15c	2,814$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.94	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England	15c	2,525$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.52	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked England	16c	2,500$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.5	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed England	15c	2,500$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.75	214	29.4%63 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…1b02backed England	8c	2,424$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked England	15c	2,411$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.67	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed England	15c	2,363$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.95	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked England	15c	2,360$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.12	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed England	8c	2,353$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed England	17c	2,298$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.69	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed England	15c	2,289$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed England	15c	2,245$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.78	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed England	15c	2,222$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.86	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked England	16c	2,003$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.26	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked England	16c	2,000$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.5	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked England	16c	2,000$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed England	15c	1,998$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.76	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed England	15c	1,995$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.26	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-1.5)this page
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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