TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f1a…bc89backed Over72c29,762$21,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,474.1310959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Under28c28,300$7,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,924.025234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under1c22,305$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.651,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over51c21,613$11,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,590.2177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over72c19,641$14,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,559.322,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…e8fdbacked Under29c19,572$5,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Over72c18,135$13,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,077.87347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under34c17,984$6,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,177.874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbb…0ee6backed Over71c17,307$12,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,019.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c14,648$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,879.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under28c7,036$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.025740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under29c6,897$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0117748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c4,341$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.672,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Under28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9812810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7af3…550cbacked Over75c3,976$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.214131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Over72c3,119$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.22969%20 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over61c3,000$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.9143248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under24c2,662$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.932,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over63c2,521$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.968941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c2,501$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under28c2,500$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.953,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under28c2,500$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.073,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over72c2,247$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.322,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Under28c2,180$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.394639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under28c2,145$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c1,950$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Under29c1,660$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5178835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaa…8670backed Over72c1,392$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-76.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8930465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…f868backed Over72c1,325$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.015662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under34c1,322$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.843,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under29c1,238$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.0270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a70…eec2backed Over53c1,209$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under28c1,105$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.753,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under1c1,031$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3182537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4907834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over70c999.98$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9920049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under28c999.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under28c999.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9930345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under35c998.47$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.381,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over52c975.41$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.211545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.548647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…fb8fbacked Over72c814.24$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over71c769.92$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.625643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.294240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over72c706.86$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9238329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4428134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e3…6dbdbacked Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over53c660.08$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3698134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Over56c596.71$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5510252.9%54 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c568.81$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.414,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d24…cf3fbacked Over72c546.82$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.112369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under28c512$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.361,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…9fb8backed Over72c508.83$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-76.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over71c500$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7518448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9925251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under43c492.12$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.42,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7098…1d97backed Over66c462.24$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.434362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over70c453.24$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over72c437.25$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.435545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under29c433.32$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6622951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under29c420.69$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6711647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under30c406.71$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.818051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4112544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11656151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over53c369.92$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.868864.8%57 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8abd…a185backed Over72c340.28$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.28887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+59.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under48c327.08$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under37c321.78$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7126841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…06f6backed Over72c293.97$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under12c279.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7811926.1%31 W · 88 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7827767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7829428.9%85 W · 209 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked Over73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.977156.3%40 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over71c269.82$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.252,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x429b…4727backed Under33c265.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.085521.8%12 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda89…6a2dbacked Under28c263$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.641233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93c6…20f1backed Over72c253.25$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Over53c251.09$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0116753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.515325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over70c244.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f61…5ed2backed Over53c233.6$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.795100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over53c230.7$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.433641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Over58c226.07$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.176553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over50c218.18$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.091,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Over70c216.97$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.09922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d07…d707backed Under32c209.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c207.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.461,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed Under29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under36c206.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.771,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over72c205.57$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5610849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d7…e943backed Over68c198.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.682181%17 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+45.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d7c…97aebacked Over66c196.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.971376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee9d…29a1backed Under30c194$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.22846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.