TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7556…0f44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$73.07
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.95
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$52.07
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.12
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$33.07
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.5
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$259.14
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$782.05
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$131.1
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$400.52
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$148.47
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.