TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof G2, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,197,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,121,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,197,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 898 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed FURIA72c2,012,442$1,448,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563,548.936160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed G227c760,374$206,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,984.8625355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed G227c409,583$110,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,761.7623355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked G245c333,158$149,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,127.842060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked G27c92,012$6,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,013.342948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed FURIA57c85,797$49,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,537.0919055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed G222c82,182$17,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,694.712653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G226c79,147$20,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,486.321,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked FURIA58c70,000$40,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,40016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA58c70,000$40,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,399.9520354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed FURIA56c70,000$39,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,799.933046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed G232c68,019$21,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,964.056152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked G240c60,845$24,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,385.7614145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed FURIA56c55,000$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,199.994238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA55c53,656$29,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,145.361,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed G230c53,534$16,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,131.5310946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed G242c49,002$20,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,580.9712348.8%60 W · 63 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed G231c48,374$15,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,064.7488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1896…a7d6backed G229c47,476$13,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,977.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed FURIA58c42,560$24,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,880.6260853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FURIA55c35,000$19,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,75075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed G242c33,363$13,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,894.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked G231c28,442$8,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,857.589565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked G244c27,585$12,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,135.1423646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed G243c27,087$11,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,641.622849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed FURIA58c26,778$15,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,246.5613548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G242c26,197$11,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,012.035,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed G243c25,377$10,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,912.2610749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked FURIA68c22,833$15,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,289.1336453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc6…315dbacked G215c20,000$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.81546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed FURIA63c15,401$9,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,637.7917062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G242c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed G242c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3004650%23 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked G240c13,014$5,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,267.9724943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G222c13,000$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.4488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed G241c12,989$5,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,325.29825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G223c11,286$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.295,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked G243c11,162$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked G242c11,119$4,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,629.3947147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G222c10,858$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.151,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed FURIA74c10,807$8,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.9510056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed G244c10,700$4,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,704.0275450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA56c10,549$5,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.6864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed FURIA57c10,351$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.8848350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed G216c10,129$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.5210036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e4…ce20backed G243c10,060$4,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,325.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G222c10,048$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.562,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4264…1169backed G226c9,352$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.861346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked FURIA57c9,345$5,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,018.3925751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed G228c9,294$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.9412055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed FURIA67c9,229$6,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.672948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA56c9,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,96023145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G223c8,885$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.061,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed G243c8,880$3,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,818.43551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed G241c8,850$3,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,628.51020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb99c…7e96backed G243c8,790$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.71650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…ae1ebacked G223c8,628$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked G243c8,560$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,678.7249536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked G237c8,482$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed G237c8,214$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked G218c8,092$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.574751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489b…a6ecbacked G235c8,003$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.683537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked G242c8,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3601127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FURIA56c7,955$4,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.235153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed G242c7,840$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.398246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G228c7,659$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.291,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G220c7,429$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.012,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked G242c7,367$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.1429046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked G224c7,281$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.168644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed G222c7,273$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6008061.3%49 W · 31 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G227c7,129$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.3587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21b…e4e4backed G227c6,840$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed G243c6,837$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.9117643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed G239c6,735$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6004040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed FURIA60c6,569$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.941747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed G232c6,524$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.1942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed G228c6,448$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80025747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed G243c6,438$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.885054%27 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked FURIA61c6,426$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.9632348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked G243c6,104$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked G222c5,455$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005560%33 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed G224c5,428$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.7861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked G243c5,408$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.449352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked G218c5,337$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.63129%9 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed G242c5,306$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.3237145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed FURIA58c5,172$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.4129449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked G240c5,069$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04752837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed FURIA58c5,061$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.4517249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed FURIA73c5,016$3,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.233250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked G237c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85021424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed G241c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9755…eab0backed G241c4,981$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked G244c4,919$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.558748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked G216c4,893$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.992611.5%3 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-68.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed G223c4,800$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1207943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked G243c4,662$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.469933.3%33 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed G233c4,600$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51828943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked G241c4,500$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.293327.3%9 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed G222c4,339$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.144,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.