TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d7c…b7db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
645
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT23646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 236 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,227.05
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,233Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,099.68
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,336Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$937.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,545.32
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,594Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$1,173.39
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,308.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,186.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,197.72
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,510
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,135.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$899.43
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,051Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,995.06
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.65
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,611Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$7,863.27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,550.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,888Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$3,125.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,753Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+174.5%+$3,059.03
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,200
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$4,148.57
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,691.51
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$7,567.03
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,219.98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.97
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.32
Showing 25 of 236 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT19452.1%101 W · 93 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$345.59
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,603Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,885.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.21
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$437.83
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$190
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.42
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.7
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.41
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$44.13
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.28
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.04
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$109.24
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$22.38
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$137.76
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$76.61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.6%+$73.39
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.75
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.42
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.19
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.6%+$58.48
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.43
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.7
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT17946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,031.98
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,762Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,549.92
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,135.96
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,601.51
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,581.61
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,790.14
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,002Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,174.16
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,009Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,254.98
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$1,915.81
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,856Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,855.9
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,281.46
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,839.49
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,603Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$6,848.06
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,967Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,431.69
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,822.86
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,633.18
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.81
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,815Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$1,001.79
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,493.47
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,781.97
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.6
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$643.47
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,356.81
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,182.22
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-66.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.97
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,967.05
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,947.12
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$242.61
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$476.43
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.8
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.53
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.42
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.22
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.5
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$47.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$146.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Was Milei hacked?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$141.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.