Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fcf6a6eacd203d4f30049614273a57fb8a0b5f2f4ef73e646e3085a1835fba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $524,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $574,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $524,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 28c | 69,172$19,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,803.95 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Yes | 72c | 47,658$34,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,313.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 28c | 28,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,159.94 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 23,739$6,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,801.44 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 29c | 15,698$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,145.84 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 74c | 15,361$11,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 15,000$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,549.94 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 72c | 14,265$10,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,270.76 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 74c | 13,861$10,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,257.04 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…3e75backed Yes | 70c | 12,317$8,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,675.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…1b25backed Yes | 72c | 11,006$7,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,924.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Yes | 72c | 10,624$7,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,631.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 38c | 9,870$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.84 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 33c | 9,344$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.2 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 68c | 8,662$5,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.61 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 56c | 7,426$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.31 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 54c | 7,411$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 72c | 6,697$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.73 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 37c | 5,487$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.36 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 72c | 5,311$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.13 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 24c | 4,598$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.3 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 28c | 4,237$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.29 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 28c | 3,577$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.55 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…5a51backed Yes | 29c | 3,555$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…6c14backed Yes | 76c | 3,273$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 30c | 3,171$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.62 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Yes | 76c | 3,005$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…df03backed Yes | 72c | 2,920$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes | 70c | 2,563$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 25c | 2,555$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +227.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Yes | 72c | 2,501$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 72c | 2,498$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.28 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a02…4136backed Yes | 72c | 2,397$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 73c | 2,324$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.69 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 72c | 2,222$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed No | 70c | 2,222$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 25c | 2,222$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 18cpaid | +882.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed No | 27c | 2,199$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…6804backed Yes | 72c | 2,153$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 60c | 2,123$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.66 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 70c | 2,105$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.51 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,070$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…6d8cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,978$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…475cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,974$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffc…19adbacked Yes | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 30c | 1,946$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.22 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 69c | 1,813$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.67 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Yes | 2c | 1,642$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,505$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.73 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…4df9backed Yes | 70c | 1,473$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…6a77backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…fea5backed Yes | 72c | 1,390$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 56c | 1,348$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.08 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.9 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…2fe7backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 77c | 1,292$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed No | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked Yes | 72c | 1,282$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.96 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 32c | 1,235$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 58c | 1,197$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.07 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,193$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 52c | 1,164$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.14 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 72c | 1,080$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.9 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58da…42aebacked Yes | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 27c | 1,008$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.97 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…29b4backed Yes | 77c | 1,005$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 28c | 1,000$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.77 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 29c | 986.97$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.75 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…cd11backed Yes | 79c | 954.71$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ef80backed Yes | 71c | 879.32$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…4657backed Yes | 73c | 857.14$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes | 79c | 838.14$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.73 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 72c | 822.5$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.2 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 51c | 752.86$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e3f3backed Yes | 68c | 738.69$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 72c | 737$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 17c | 727.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.71 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…b5febacked No | 24c | 720$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Yes | 72c | 695.46$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…aa8abacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 70c | 682.86$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…ed78backed Yes | 77c | 653.68$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 72c | 651.9$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.46 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…0ed2backed Yes | 77c | 650.65$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 65c | 645.28$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes | 72c | 641.01$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 72c | 639.65$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.55 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 28c | 612.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.35 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.