Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb015c672af83a64dd246362c7895ac13227affcd67c1458cf5e7d7163aca31ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8893…655cbacked Yes | 31c | 140,000$43,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…5eb7backed No | 69c | 140,000$96,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 23c | 26,979$6,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,849.65 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 21c | 21,460$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,946.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 18c | 20,300$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,649 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 17c | 18,627$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,465.57 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…9c10backed Yes | 20c | 18,320$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,656.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 17c | 15,521$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,942.48 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 18c | 15,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,350.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +466.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 17c | 9,778$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,115.96 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 17c | 8,819$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +227.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 53c | 6,882$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.87 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 16c | 6,200$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,195.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 18cpaid | +882.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 16c | 5,001$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.02 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 17c | 3,173$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.43 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 17c | 2,353$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.66 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,084$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.96 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 66c | 2,077$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…6baabacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7f63backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Yes | 74c | 1,930$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…6a77backed Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +466%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 16c | 1,446$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.86 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 75c | 1,294$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 65c | 1,258$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.4 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed No | 49c | 1,234$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…5e77backed Yes | 15c | 1,211$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +306.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…4cc1backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…a755backed Yes | 79c | 821.75$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 22c | 809.91$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 39c | 690$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.9 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…8f2bbacked Yes | 15c | 670$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 79c | 659.7$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…9458backed Yes | 17c | 516.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +386.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…d101backed Yes | 18c | 505.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 36c | 462.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 404.17$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.86 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…34bebacked Yes | 61c | 401.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 71c | 370.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…4c09backed Yes | 20c | 356.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 35c | 342.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…60a1backed Yes | 36c | 272.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8de…e12abacked Yes | 18c | 220.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…d0aabacked Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed Yes | 63c | 211.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 65c | 208.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…2d40backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 32c | 181.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 71c | 178.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Yes | 18c | 168$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +244.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 14c | 150$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Yes | 18c | 145$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 35c | 141.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Yes | 36c | 135.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 18c | 133.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…5ed9backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Yes | 64c | 116.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 67c | 113.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 18c | 105.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…cddbbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…61aabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…c599backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…00c7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…853bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…9858backed Yes | 35c | 82.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…1775backed Yes | 74c | 81.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…868cbacked Yes | 42c | 73.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…ba68backed Yes | 66c | 71.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…3bd3backed Yes | 52c | 68.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…e8dcbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc5…f5e1backed Yes | 67c | 63.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…9bd8backed Yes | 67c | 55.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 59c | 46.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 36c | 42.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee3…20ddbacked Yes | 36c | 41.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 75c | 41.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 74c | 37.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.