TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64d7…73a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.4%+$468.82
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$550.15
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.2
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$31.65
Trump trade deal in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$481.76
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$381.01
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,602Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+82.1%+$2,136.62
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40%+$227.17
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,023Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$1,489.6
Will Trump announce tariffs on France on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$91
Will Trump announce tariffs on Germany on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$98
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$708.5
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.4
Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$446
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+51.3%+$678
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4650%23 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$87.5
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+452.5%+$1,310.4
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$121.43
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$213
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Łódzkie?backed Trzaskowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$516
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,433
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+247.4%+$2,106.24
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,334.54
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,929Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+155.2%+$6,098.16
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$350
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,479.99
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.2
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$83.3
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$290
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+60.5%+$1,330.35
Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$137.6
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$557.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$247.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,889.97
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$45.66
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.5
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+249.9%+$928.5
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.5
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+32%+$751
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+132.2%+$1,403.83
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$2,069.65
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$66.12
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$421.01
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$718.05
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$63
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+40.6%+$101
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+98.5%+$645
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+29%+$156.66
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,619.56
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,561.83
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,117.6
Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+33%+$248
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+77.6%+$866.3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+46.5%+$197.44
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$104
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+97.6%+$629.72
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+75.4%+$558.99
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$3,921.74
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+391.2%+$557.5
Israel military strike against Iran in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+28.2%+$55
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$253.54
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$113.09
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.29per pick30cpaid+153.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+684.3%+$465.2
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+243.9%+$245.87
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+625.2%+$400.1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+118.2%+$162.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$150
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$29.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+515.4%+$575.1
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+466%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+466%+$1,235
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connor Hellebuyck win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$212
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+63.9%+$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$90.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+31.7%+$78.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$78.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$222
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.