Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd17e65dbb48341946ae13b339629f2045377b72212e8619ee9f46e32000a4c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $805,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $879,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $805,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fa3…7948backed Yes | 33c | 64,824$21,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,405.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 28c | 46,112$12,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,763.42 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 64c | 29,123$18,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,521.95 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…986fbacked No | 66c | 26,425$17,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,005.15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 66c | 19,695$13,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670.21 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 15c | 18,389$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.11 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 6c | 17,248$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.16 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 72c | 12,345$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.56 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 16c | 12,178$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 49c | 12,000$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,101.49 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 79c | 11,878$9,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 30c | 10,980$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.25 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 56c | 10,007$5,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.54 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 27c | 9,860$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.7 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 40c | 8,959$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.22 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…cc4cbacked No | 60c | 8,833$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 34c | 8,017$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 7,528$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 27c | 6,913$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.66 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 38c | 6,631$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed No | 75c | 6,500$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.95 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…6adcbacked Yes | 16c | 6,239$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 78c | 5,700$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.06 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 28c | 5,475$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.21 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 5,441$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.33 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 30c | 5,379$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.86 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 29c | 5,253$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.13 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 5,241$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.17 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Yes | 15c | 5,208$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 31c | 4,764$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.76 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 21c | 4,282$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.23 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed No | 73c | 4,162$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.83 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 34c | 4,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 34c | 3,962$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.27 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…af9bbacked No | 65c | 3,842$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.7 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 32c | 3,690$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 79c | 3,428$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.31 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 19c | 3,396$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.85 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 30c | 3,370$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 67c | 3,258$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.31 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…a3f7backed No | 66c | 3,224$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 14c | 2,850$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 34c | 2,732$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.46 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,704$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 15c | 2,701$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.55 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 5c | 2,550$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed Yes | 24c | 2,386$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…6540backed Yes | 24c | 2,285$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 71c | 2,200$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.17 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 57c | 2,120$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 43c | 2,096$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.57 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 31c | 1,914$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.77 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…8b46backed No | 75c | 1,875$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 42c | 1,598$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.97 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 73c | 1,531$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.34 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…c974backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 48c | 1,507$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.79 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 69c | 1,447$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.71 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 73c | 1,434$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 35c | 1,434$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 33c | 1,404$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.04 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes | 6c | 1,274$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…ab6cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,256$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed No | 71c | 1,242$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 28c | 1,240$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.77 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 74c | 1,199$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.86 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 72c | 1,089$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.28 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 37c | 1,082$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,054$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.55 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,050$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.61 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 20c | 1,025$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…cd08backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…2420backed Yes | 39c | 943.9$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 18c | 890.3$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 7c | 882$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 70c | 875.64$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.27 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…959fbacked Yes | 21c | 792$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed Yes | 36c | 779.46$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 63c | 771.97$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.17 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 761.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.77 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 33c | 739.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 20c | 721$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 27c | 713.07$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 73c | 710.44$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 36c | 704.04$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d72…cca4backed Yes | 14c | 700.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed No | 60c | 700$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 33c | 699.58$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed Yes | 34c | 694$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 33c | 688.81$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.77 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 66c | 679.09$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.36 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?this page
- Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.