TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a61…af24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,010
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 73 out of 100 (+0.20 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 73 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT16535.8%59 W · 106 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+86.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.2
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.68
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.75
Trump out as President by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$965.07
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+41.2%+$93.63
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$81.34
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.43
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.86
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.3%+$1,577.57
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$151.96
Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+37.2%+$218.02
Will Russell T. Vought be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+145.7%+$124
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,126.22
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$474.77
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.3%+$22.23
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+202.1%+$3,832.03
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.21
Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$173.03
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+240.7%+$45.81
Panick in the White Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,023.6%+$1,052.32
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$90.79
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+765.1%+$1,549.21
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT11850.8%60 W · 58 L+29.2wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+132.4%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
World Politics — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+541%+$934.62
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,659.52
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$422.16
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.66
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$288.67
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.51
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.06
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+232.2%+$26.3
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+184.9%+$643.36
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$906.92
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+296.8%+$201.05
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,706Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+152.6%+$2,604.79
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,622Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+109.2%+$1,771.15
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.01
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+298.4%+$515.51
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+373.9%+$2,812.79
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+257.1%+$332.37
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+269%+$1,390.8
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+300%+$193.8
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+589.7%+$547.22
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$86.05
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$922.4
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$207.4
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+95.7%+$46.49
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT9535.8%34 W · 61 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.87
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,456Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,092
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.33
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$40.85
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,639Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,512.96
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,216
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$46.52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,516
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$913.74
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,511
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.01
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.5
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.2
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$1,659.2
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,256.5
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,491.07
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.41
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.5
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.01
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,207.2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$904Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,572.24
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+169.5%+$59.33
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$761
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$605.63
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT9435.1%33 W · 61 L+13.1wins+0.14per pick21cpaid+167%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
AI — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.86
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,511.5
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$73.7
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$641.14
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400.28
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,688.98
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+9,900%+$1,470.33
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$1,571.62
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.02
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$304.8
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$302.67
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60.37
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$940
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$191.28
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,141.75
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.89
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203%+$697.66
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+84.2%+$991.07
Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,735Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+45.1%+$783.18
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.82
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$597.07
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+386.2%+$2,654.38
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+313.2%+$1,152.58
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+283.7%+$2,151.44
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.18
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.6
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$738.25
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Kevin Durant be traded to the Rockets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$417.13
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,472.22
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.02
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+107.5%+$1,313.12
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,687.7
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$4,671.91
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.03
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+150%+$95.88
Will the Knicks beat the Pistons 4-2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+232.2%+$191.78
Will the Pacers beat the Bucks 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.6
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Bucks (To Advance)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Cavaliers beat the Heat 4-1backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will the Cavaliers beat the Heat 4-0backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$516.46
Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.13
Will Malik Beasley win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.9
Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.37
Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L+9.9wins+0.22per pick29cpaid+235.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
NFL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.29
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$52.14
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+281.7%+$35.32
Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+290.6%+$2,193.72
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+237.8%+$1,137.2
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+150%+$957
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.28
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60.27
Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,999.99
Will the Houston Texans win 10 or more regular season games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+4,900%+$1,971.33
Will the Buffalo Bills be the first team to reach 100 total points scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will the NFL ban the Tush Push?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$64.16
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.53
Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+60.5%+$54.56
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+1,136.7%+$1,791.91
Will Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40.08
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$2,736.02
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10,005.2
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$988.49
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12,085Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+53%+$6,400.95
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+81.5%+$20.53
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+204%+$42.08
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$109.29
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4037.5%15 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+211.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,810.8
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+300%+$3,659.76
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+5,455.6%+$3,301.48
Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28%+$57.33
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$696.92
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+445.5%+$1,378.1
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.4
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+800.9%+$1,312.86
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$785.71
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+212.5%+$1,062.5
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$319.19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60.1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,296
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,400
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$349.31
Fed rate cut by October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+177%+$575.21
Fed rate cut by September meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$51.83
Will Powell say "Obvious" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Powell say "Spike" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+525%+$1,040.05
Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.24
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$775.77
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$906.64
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+397.5%+$41.37
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$493.16
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+20.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,637Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,572.9
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,635.75
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+99.6%+$56.6
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$468.78
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+95.7%+$493.53
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+402.5%+$979.58
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$172.05
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$233.86
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$62.08
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$152.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$1,866.66
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,894.82
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,396Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$2,008.36
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,216.59
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,380.54
Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$559.84
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,608.4
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$156.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$371.24
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$680.51
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$1,379.07
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+128.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.48
Sentio FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.6
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,639.04
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,236.8
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.6
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.22
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.27
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$573.27
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+284.6%+$1,322.08
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$160.11
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+27.9%+$666.43
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+4,900%+$2,479
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$909.5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+124.7%+$262.66
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60.21
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+373.9%+$584.36
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,640.53
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$904.47
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,389.09
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,249.75
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.24
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.82
Farcaster airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.71
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.88
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3423.5%8 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$291.99
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$2,833.33
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$848.06
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Bitcoin all time high before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,216.18
Bitcoin all time high before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$892.19
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,575
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$1,400
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Will XRP dip to $2 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.2
Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.73
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$928.57
Will Hyperliquid reach $35 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.81
Will Hyperliquid reach $30 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.34
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+67.8%+$338.92
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+143.9%+$344.81
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+119.3%+$29.49
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$907.92
2025 September second hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,397.49
Megaquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$636.8
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Megaquake before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,383.88
Megaquake by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.3
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$903.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or higher on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$34.17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+203%+$538.34
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.75
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$39.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58–59°F on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.96
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.1
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 79°F or higher on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.1
Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$447.82
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+335.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Movies — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+6,566.7%+$794.76
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$746.51
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.69
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.11
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60.08
Will Chase Infiniti be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+116.5%+$22.21
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.19
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$62.97
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,114.12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67.95
Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$688.1
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+284.6%+$475.33
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+135.3%+$177.05
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,108.9
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$34.89
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30.06
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+91.2%+$164.83
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+145.7%+$1,008.96
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+1,624.1%+$533.63
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+495.2%+$756.29
Will "Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 89?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.29per pick26cpaid+157.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Music — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+241.3%+$557.25
Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$138.03
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+244.8%+$1,215.14
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+155.1%+$341.72
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+1,370.6%+$1,482.73
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$302.48
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,627.41
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.26
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,377Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.9%+$806.23
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+143.3%+$1,146.47
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$633.6
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$602.55
Will Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+150%+$63.04
Will Playboi Carti release another album before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$151.23
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.7
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+320.2%+$243.75
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.12
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.16
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+232.2%+$214.23
Ye divorce before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+1,346.1%+$517.39
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+91.9%+$19.36
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$134.16
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$12.34
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$454.67
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52.02
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,428Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+114.8%+$1,640.3
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,791.19
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,723Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.1%+$1,581.68
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$158.96
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.26
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$603.15
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$901.34
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.05
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$127.48
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$54.75
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$200
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+114.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,384.83
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$111.33
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360.38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$490.66
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+202.1%+$282.41
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,637.28
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+509.8%+$4,622.23
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$909.15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$336.69
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$8.51
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$1,772.72
Will Trump post 150 or more times on Truth March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.52
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$386.82
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$49.52
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+1,854.2%+$522.85
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$18.68
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times November 8-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+28.9%+$173.19
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times November 8-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+117.4%+$89.22
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times Nov 8-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+203%+$406.06
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.98
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.38
Will Nuno Santo be the first EPL manager fired?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.23
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.05
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.96
Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.74
Will Tottenham Hotspur qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Manchester United qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+323.7%+$228.85
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.63
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$898.99
Will Ipswich Town be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Wolverhampton be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,032
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$504
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+91.9%+$89
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$24.97
All 18 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,018Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+427%+$12,888.38
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$642.6
Will Ferrari finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.86
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300.81
Will Red Bull finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$178.92
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+300%+$57.07
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+525%+$1,441.85
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$978.02
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.76
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+300%+$212.53
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,299.99
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italy GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.99
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$857.78
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.86
Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,371Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$3,541.29
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$1,796.71
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150.93
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,392
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.29
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$750.78
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,111.13
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,113.84
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+97.2%+$320.89
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$61.76
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$58.18
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,758.62
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,636Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+91.9%+$1,504.06
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.15
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$947.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.35per pick29cpaid+168.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$3,128.2
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+154.3%+$3,186.07
Will Connor Hellebuyck win the Hart Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.01
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be Eastern Conference champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.04
Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$134.37
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.93
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+426.8%+$61.68
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$24.7
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,431Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$1,243.82
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+300%+$689.3
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.07
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.26
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$718.69
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$160.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+182.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$605
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,078.81
Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.85
Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.79
Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$820.8
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$527.72
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+2,400%+$3,270.09
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$87.27
Will U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$705.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.40per pick24cpaid+133.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$307.99
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,056.18
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,770.72
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.4
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.24
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$2,401.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+296.3%+$4,532.24
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$353.39
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$912.23
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+221.5%+$1,993.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$193.88
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$57.63
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+454.6%+$3,263.12
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBI's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.23
Will Elly De La Cruz lead the MLB in steals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$89.25
Will the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.9
Will the Texas Rangers win the AL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.89
Will the New York Mets win the NL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.64
Will the Atlanta Braves win the NL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick28cpaid+498.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+75.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+861.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick6cpaid+788.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$113.06
Will AC Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+88.3%+$314.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+283.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The MongolZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+283.1%+$61.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+225.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+225.7%+$49.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+119.3%+$13.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,652Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,651.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.