Movies · resolved market
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x039b48827f3c6b83f50153715af8a66f2b74b04fcfc5def13acb3f151eeb3d81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,206,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,638,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,206,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 3,253,362$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.54 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 303,101$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 243,673$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 175,369$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.1 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…1981backed Yes | 0c | 175,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 86,000$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x656f…b5b4backed Yes | 1c | 50,749$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…6b6fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,031$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ffd4backed Yes | 0c | 50,031$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…ed9dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,031$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…f9e7backed Yes | 0c | 50,031$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…e233backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…375abacked Yes | 0c | 49,531$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…1743backed Yes | 11c | 40,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…a33cbacked Yes | 1c | 38,056$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…ae41backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…3489backed Yes | 0c | 28,600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 0c | 28,313$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fe…3656backed Yes | 0c | 27,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3192…9eebbacked Yes | 0c | 25,130$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…93a2backed Yes | 0c | 25,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1c…0cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,236$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…4acbbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…1bf4backed Yes | 3c | 21,157$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…e916backed Yes | 1c | 19,981$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…92cfbacked Yes | 1c | 19,972$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…258ebacked Yes | 1c | 19,523$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…6c67backed Yes | 1c | 19,113$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…2487backed Yes | 1c | 19,002$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…22aebacked Yes | 1c | 19,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697c…4f2abacked Yes | 1c | 18,971$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c98…4bd9backed Yes | 1c | 18,891$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…7de4backed Yes | 1c | 18,890$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4266backed Yes | 1c | 18,889$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…24b5backed Yes | 1c | 18,888$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…c04fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,883$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…bce4backed Yes | 1c | 18,878$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…7836backed Yes | 1c | 18,799$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…4eb2backed Yes | 1c | 18,772$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff3…b655backed Yes | 1c | 18,765$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…97d9backed Yes | 0c | 18,653$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…dadfbacked Yes | 1c | 18,293$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…f636backed Yes | 1c | 18,002$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7374backed Yes | 1c | 18,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda81…cdb5backed Yes | 1c | 17,999$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…6183backed Yes | 1c | 17,996$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…3e1dbacked Yes | 1c | 17,994$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87c…0de1backed Yes | 1c | 17,892$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…d452backed Yes | 1c | 17,886$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…ebdebacked Yes | 1c | 17,872$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…0e53backed Yes | 0c | 17,780$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd655…7774backed Yes | 0c | 17,772$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5ffabacked Yes | 1c | 17,666$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…cf2fbacked Yes | 9c | 15,166$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…bb41backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…8a6dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,692$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…617fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,983$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…ee97backed Yes | 0c | 12,421$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…be8fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,325$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…83e9backed Yes | 0c | 11,992$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…03f0backed Yes | 0c | 11,370$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 0c | 11,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…d908backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,667$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…7c7cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9e…1957backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…9172backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…ab6ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…efa6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa62…fe16backed Yes | 0c | 9,620$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…037abacked Yes | 0c | 9,199$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes | 3c | 9,115$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.55 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 9,090$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…63d6backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ed…f76fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,770$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…ab82backed Yes | 0c | 7,739$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…829ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,458$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f2…d8c9backed Yes | 0c | 7,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed Yes | 4c | 7,075$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…4b4cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,045$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eff…d203backed Yes | 0c | 7,044$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed Yes | 1c | 6,926$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 8c | 6,725$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…06a2backed Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…dde6backed Yes | 0c | 6,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…6367backed Yes | 0c | 6,359$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…5d03backed Yes | 0c | 6,167$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 12c | 6,122$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…2e86backed Yes | 0c | 6,067$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…2953backed Yes | 0c | 6,046$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…da09backed Yes | 0c | 5,767$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…fa90backed Yes | 0c | 5,698$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada2…3c6bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,665$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…3546backed Yes | 0c | 5,600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.