Movies · resolved market
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe87b10afe191706bb36b22526b65983e2a88a12ccce36827e857e16791973493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,754,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,328,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,754,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,900 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 68c | 219,525$149,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,650.13 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed No | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…8393backed No | 1c | 140,745$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…ff78backed No | 1c | 138,822$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 0c | 128,561$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…b000backed No | 1c | 108,466$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked No | 0c | 99,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 49c | 71,921$35,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,685.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed No | 43c | 71,478$30,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,553.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 45c | 60,953$27,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,764.21 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 20c | 59,518$11,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,646.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…d7a4backed No | 2c | 53,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…f95bbacked No | 75c | 48,103$35,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,981.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…faa2backed Yes | 25c | 48,103$12,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,981.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 59c | 43,090$25,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,545.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…a38dbacked No | 2c | 41,980$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 43c | 41,918$17,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,058.25 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 3c | 41,310$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…8ef7backed No | 1c | 40,812$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…737bbacked No | 1c | 40,583$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…9e39backed No | 2c | 35,849$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…87a8backed No | 0c | 34,250$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Yes | 14c | 34,102$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,340.41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 0c | 33,785$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 13c | 30,000$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,053.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +138%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 9c | 29,785$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,978.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 2c | 29,375$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.46 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…1d01backed No | 0c | 29,278$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 37c | 28,921$10,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,240.62 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…181dbacked No | 2c | 28,844$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.04 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 20c | 26,985$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,510.92 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 22c | 26,372$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,466.11 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…6bfdbacked Yes | 19c | 25,337$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,634.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…633ebacked No | 1c | 25,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 37c | 24,658$9,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,501.66 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed No | 28c | 24,337$6,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,828.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 71c | 23,034$16,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…f898backed No | 1c | 21,534$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…413bbacked No | 40c | 20,100$7,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,979.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked No | 1c | 18,706$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes | 29c | 18,365$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,977.74 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 50c | 17,782$8,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,957.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed No | 0c | 17,225$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes | 53c | 17,012$9,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,958.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 17,000$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 16,891$3,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,365.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…95aebacked No | 1c | 16,075$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…0437backed Yes | 16c | 15,500$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,973.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +513.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 23c | 15,484$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,894.78 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 5c | 15,200$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.64 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 5c | 15,089$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.96 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 41c | 14,992$6,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,828.52 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…e2afbacked No | 2c | 14,964$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…e661backed No | 1c | 14,156$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…b46cbacked Yes | 13c | 12,903$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,174.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 13c | 12,855$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,188.83 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…5c4abacked No | 1c | 12,340$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d4…c481backed Yes | 71c | 12,215$8,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…f8e5backed No | 1c | 12,195$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea36…5da8backed No | 0c | 11,801$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked No | 0c | 11,608$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed No | 1c | 11,389$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…bc1bbacked Yes | 26c | 11,349$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,348.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 36c | 11,183$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985.04 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed No | 1c | 11,159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 21c | 11,134$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +233%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 51c | 11,117$5,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.1 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…f93abacked No | 0c | 10,395$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 74c | 10,100$7,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…92acbacked No | 0c | 10,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…c7ffbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…f6bdbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf38…5799backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Yes | 79c | 9,847$7,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.47 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 76c | 9,696$7,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 1c | 9,424$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 38c | 9,415$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…b838backed No | 0c | 9,253$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 63c | 9,123$5,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.98 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 65c | 8,993$5,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.4 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 41c | 8,818$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.44 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed No | 3c | 8,815$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.78 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…6022backed No | 77c | 8,786$6,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,763.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…f461backed No | 1c | 8,712$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 53c | 8,690$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.09 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed Yes | 22c | 8,638$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,768.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 3c | 8,601$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.58 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…702dbacked No | 39c | 8,556$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…2c96backed No | 2c | 8,541$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 1c | 8,513$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…6157backed Yes | 53c | 8,459$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 8,458$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…2553backed No | 0c | 8,443$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yes | 21c | 8,376$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 8,327$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 2c | 7,993$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…0a39backed No | 2c | 7,900$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…35c9backed No | 0c | 7,865$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…8a8abacked No | 0c | 7,865$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1a…17cfbacked No | 1c | 7,763$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.