TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc79…1c2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
304
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Stocks, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT6842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$71.1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.3
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.99
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$58
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?backed No change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$38.16
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+39.1%+$88
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$270
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+27.4%+$215
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,040.08
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$171
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.25
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+94.3%+$176.63
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$72
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$392.99
Will Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$59.46
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$440
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$837.99
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.88
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.86
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,863Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.4%+$3,129.4
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+71.3%+$333
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,678Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$921.9
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$201.2
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$259.45
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+61.3%+$380
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$49
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 64-70m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.61
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.2
Will 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.34
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 7-9m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.85
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+100%+$153.7
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?backed Tesla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.01
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.99
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.37
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$564
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$156.84
X Money released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.13
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.98
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$355.98
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+94.2%+$194
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+89.9%+$284
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.5%+$130.6
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+313.8%+$703.74
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$214.99
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,077.97
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+133.9%+$415.74
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3522.9%8 W · 27 L-7.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-51.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$581
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.35
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.35
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.7
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.99
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.68
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$426.4
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$116.55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.57
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.99
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$619.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$649.99
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$220
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$534.18
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+226.9%+$744.64
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.1%+$650
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,097Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+86.9%+$6,168.99
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.6%+$3,057.34
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$320
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,000
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.99
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.9%+$96.8
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$105
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.3%+$800
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$286
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,438.99
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.73
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.11
Will Argentina counter tariff the U.S. in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$605.56
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35.36
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+55.2%+$370.75
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$3,914.43
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$6,819.99
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$586
All 23 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+73%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+185.7%+$195
No airdrop in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+38.5%+$131.22
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$105
OpenSea airdrop before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$158
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$346.41
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$169.99
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$515.73
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Linea airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$161.54
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$600
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$128.26
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$875.43
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.2
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$588
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$115.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick19cpaid+191.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+44.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+230.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+181.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+67.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+169.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+438.5%+$608.78
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.