Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ad962d3d86c54c209199ed9602088d09993117dfb7ce09fa7275d66cbaa055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $783,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $782,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $783,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1465…7072backed No | 78c | 122,645$95,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,660.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 33c | 106,698$34,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,855.46 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 28c | 37,128$10,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,658.42 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 39c | 36,790$14,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,577.59 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 40c | 28,459$11,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,081.68 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 57c | 25,861$14,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,020.59 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…6cf6backed Yes | 35c | 19,881$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,980.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…ab51backed No | 26c | 15,924$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 38c | 13,252$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,201.69 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 31c | 8,060$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 52c | 7,797$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.05 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 41c | 7,381$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 25c | 6,500$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed Yes | 21c | 5,064$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 53c | 4,688$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.87 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 50c | 4,382$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.3 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes | 37c | 4,229$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 33c | 4,129$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.46 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Yes | 24c | 4,085$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 56c | 4,060$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 25c | 3,999$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 61c | 3,987$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 29c | 3,583$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.62 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 62c | 3,300$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 3,204$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.21 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 77c | 3,131$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.27 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 40c | 3,034$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.35 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 16c | 2,987$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.86 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Yes | 59c | 2,881$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 29c | 2,820$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.01 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 57c | 2,606$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…b488backed Yes | 38c | 2,073$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 73c | 2,066$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.29 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…1cbebacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…de19backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…a682backed No | 62c | 1,965$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 37c | 1,923$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.6 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 58c | 1,903$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 74c | 1,849$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.52 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…143dbacked No | 25c | 1,826$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…bb98backed Yes | 23c | 1,817$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 60c | 1,793$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,748$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.43 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 49c | 1,693$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.01 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…c6c6backed No | 22c | 1,600$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 52c | 1,551$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.44 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…6651backed Yes | 46c | 1,456$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 52c | 1,300$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 24c | 1,246$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.78 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked No | 42c | 1,236$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,236$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.72 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 1,200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…08a7backed No | 67c | 1,138$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 30c | 1,072$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.97 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 66c | 1,066$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.47 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…bdf9backed Yes | 51c | 1,064$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,004$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…b155backed Yes | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 37c | 979.19$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.89 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…7500backed No | 63c | 964.42$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4817…6752backed No | 39c | 921.26$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 44c | 912.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.67 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…d0e9backed Yes | 38c | 815.79$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…5b01backed Yes | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Yes | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 76c | 799.99$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.99 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed No | 64c | 799.98$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…7214backed Yes | 26c | 764.32$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…7786backed Yes | 29c | 761.41$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 39c | 750$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.8 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ac2bbacked Yes | 70c | 730$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed No | 60c | 707.94$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…a096backed No | 69c | 691.06$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.28 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…e8c0backed No | 44c | 689.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 47c | 683.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed Yes | 45c | 680$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…b94abacked Yes | 30c | 666$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 57c | 600$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 9c | 600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…4d05backed No | 69c | 572.16$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 20c | 570$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…decabacked No | 66c | 570$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed No | 57c | 540$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…fdfebacked Yes | 54c | 539.1$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 22c | 537.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.79 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…9150backed Yes | 22c | 536.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…be0dbacked Yes | 24c | 520.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…1119backed Yes | 35c | 519.63$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked No | 45c | 500.37$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.82 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…909cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…efc1backed Yes | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…7175backed Yes | 35c | 494.03$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.