Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a8963c510d3f2a1cb669882cccc5f521fd3ed1c75e0af56ace20346170ddb1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $521,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f91…c5f0backed Yes | 19c | 48,632$9,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,462.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 0c | 39,030$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 2c | 27,028$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 0c | 19,520$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 79c | 17,363$13,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.96 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 15,999$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 1c | 12,024$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 17c | 11,486$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.72 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 17c | 10,938$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.28 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 76c | 9,837$7,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 1c | 7,930$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 17c | 7,372$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.91 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 7,046$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…241ebacked No | 80c | 6,385$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…a7e9backed Yes | 1c | 6,041$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae4…75d0backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 15c | 4,964$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.56 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 18c | 4,523$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.37 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 14c | 4,152$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.08 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 1c | 3,142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 19c | 2,894$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.69 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,537$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,507$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,148$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…026dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,017$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,941$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,924$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,841$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 2c | 1,796$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1699…1f1dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,761$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 17c | 1,669$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…17f2backed Yes | 17c | 1,416$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…e2c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,360$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 23c | 1,208$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.53 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 24c | 1,133$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.94 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 6c | 967.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…494bbacked Yes | 2c | 966.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…8b40backed Yes | 14c | 921.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 17c | 889.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked No | 80c | 800$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…06e3backed Yes | 20c | 733.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…e75fbacked No | 80c | 720.34$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…a738backed Yes | 17c | 538.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 16c | 499.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 16c | 495.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes | 20c | 456$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8344…1e09backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…47dfbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes | 7c | 394.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3902backed Yes | 17c | 379.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 379.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…f5d9backed Yes | 14c | 296.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…96cbbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…35eebacked No | 78c | 249.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 15c | 231.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a20…295abacked Yes | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…6723backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa602…1d77backed Yes | 17c | 206$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe51a…eaf2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…b14abacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…9d90backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…ce12backed Yes | 17c | 171.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…e95bbacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…6f84backed Yes | 12c | 167.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…4496backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…b3c4backed Yes | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Yes | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 15c | 129.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…d068backed Yes | 16c | 124.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…358dbacked Yes | 18c | 116.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0369…4192backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…b41dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…1c2ebacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…f011backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…ef60backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a70…b3cbbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…b9cbbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ab…571dbacked Yes | 17c | 75.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…735ebacked Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…9150backed No | 77c | 60.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked No | 79c | 37.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…c1acbacked No | 78c | 32.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…6e29backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…c10cbacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…4a56backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…d17abacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…b70bbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1640…396ebacked No | 79c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.