Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ff2629945e6172d14c3d29cf573345544a13eceabd5d857a4caee7b8ba5c37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,052,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,052,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 7c | 109,795$8,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,026.58 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 4c | 75,786$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.77 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 6c | 68,637$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.54 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 5c | 40,070$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.22 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…c32dbacked Yes | 6c | 38,977$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Yes | 4c | 34,313$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 5c | 31,161$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.72 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…2a65backed Yes | 7c | 26,840$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…c0f5backed Yes | 4c | 26,838$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Yes | 4c | 15,057$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.57 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…7175backed Yes | 5c | 11,816$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 5c | 8,627$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.26 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…be60backed Yes | 8c | 8,432$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 8,279$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.39 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a0…3681backed Yes | 6c | 8,089$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 6,936$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…368dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,761$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 6c | 6,106$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.37 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…f218backed Yes | 1c | 6,005$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…60ddbacked Yes | 5c | 5,970$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed Yes | 3c | 5,573$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9d…e83dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,474$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked Yes | 8c | 5,031$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ac2bbacked Yes | 9c | 5,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,848$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 5c | 4,594$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…4deebacked Yes | 4c | 4,530$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 6c | 4,196$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.94 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 7c | 4,075$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…aef0backed Yes | 6c | 3,894$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,526$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…bd75backed Yes | 9c | 3,218$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 5c | 3,218$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 8c | 3,068$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 13c | 3,049$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,862$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.28 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…b47ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,858$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 10c | 2,749$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.3 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…12d9backed Yes | 8c | 2,740$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 4c | 2,736$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 3c | 2,708$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f2…1b7ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,671$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…8a73backed Yes | 4c | 2,404$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Yes | 7c | 2,400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 8c | 2,229$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Yes | 8c | 2,213$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…16bbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,083$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de7…89a4backed Yes | 9c | 2,045$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,009$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…4381backed Yes | 3c | 1,987$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdf…a9efbacked Yes | 3c | 1,980$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…7b23backed Yes | 2c | 1,839$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbc…d427backed Yes | 5c | 1,793$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 1,548$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…6703backed Yes | 5c | 1,540$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…5b01backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Yes | 7c | 1,440$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…01e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,413$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 7c | 1,410$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…738cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…1000backed Yes | 7c | 1,389$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17fb…7f14backed Yes | 13c | 1,327$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,291$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a0abacked Yes | 7c | 1,227$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…dadebacked Yes | 7c | 1,171$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…0fe5backed Yes | 2c | 1,151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…6023backed Yes | 6c | 1,122$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 7c | 1,093$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 14c | 1,089$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,049$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,034$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 5c | 920.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…b155backed Yes | 12c | 899.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 3c | 865.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 842.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 3c | 806.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 7c | 800$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 7c | 766.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…d001backed Yes | 13c | 765.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066b…8d04backed Yes | 3c | 730.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…66ddbacked Yes | 5c | 730$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10c…002fbacked Yes | 9c | 685.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…dc83backed Yes | 2c | 658.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f00…d4a3backed Yes | 3c | 645.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…1d84backed Yes | 3c | 636.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…f111backed Yes | 2c | 628.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Yes | 3c | 619.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d4…7af5backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…b94abacked Yes | 5c | 526.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…b009backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +95%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…c663backed Yes | 5c | 467.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…c29dbacked Yes | 7c | 463.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 5c | 375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.