TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6db9…4ab5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
585
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,813.55
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$87,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87,729.2
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.77
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$119,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+446.7%+$532,526.42
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,392.5%+$4,664.96
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$27.6
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,496.93
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.98
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$3,133.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.04
Lionel Messi: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,761.37
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$590.36
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,620
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.39
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,513.18
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$62.25
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90,243.69
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,626Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$2,403.8
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,268.16
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$119,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119,779.38
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,519.26
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11,191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$7,066.26
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT7425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.78
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$7,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,469.97
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,656.73
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,341.24
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18,753Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$13,616.99
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,092.33
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,288.86
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,510.92
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,263.1
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.95
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$9,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,888.59
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.12
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190.36
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.93
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,041.23
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,471.7
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.67
Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.44
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.11
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.34
Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4010%4 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.91
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,409.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,859.97
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,352.58
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$242.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+2,531.6%+$865.47
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$666.69
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,889.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,879.85
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.11
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$953.49
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.01
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,328.63
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.19
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$307
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$206.33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,793Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,793.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.29
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+495%+$12,250.47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$218.61
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+353.4%+$640.7
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$662.35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$898.77
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$559.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,400.1
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$64.52
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,313.66
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.16
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$64.22
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,025Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+220.7%+$11,089.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35.66
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.32
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29.42
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$36.71
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$28.55
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+44.3%+$156.41
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$10,089.05
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.15
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.96
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.63
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.85
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.45
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.13
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.4
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,995.99
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.04
Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.31
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.63
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.79
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.21
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.54
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$7,170.25
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.04
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.2
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$154.53
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$204.44
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56.12
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$316.9
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+173.1%+$453.83
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$784.96
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.59
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+285.5%+$1,680.82
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$770.24
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,597.08
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$31.22
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$370.58
Will the US strike Yemen next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Will the US strike Venezuela next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$254.74
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,154.71
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.56
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$253.1
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.44
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$86.48
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.26
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.95
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$52.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$729.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$396.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$140.39
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.44
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100.78
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.75
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.6%+$236.16
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38.62
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.36
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.19
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-74%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,695.72
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.93
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.89
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.72
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.97
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.9
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.94
Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42.43
Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.59
Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$166.34
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,377Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$929.55
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.11
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.94
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,869.36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,506.13
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.42
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$168.46
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$255.13
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST205%1 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid+170.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+5,313.6%+$1,243.16
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$481.89
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$468.01
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$24.16
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,457.39
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$389.11
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.09
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$755.53
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,535.62
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$246.67
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$966.77
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$96.9
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,203.87
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$388.81
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$599.21
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,949.9
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$365.13
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,762.38
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.82
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,807Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,806.73
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST205%1 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-84.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$114.9
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,185.29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$666.59
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$734.1
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,278.86
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$148.56
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,050.17
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$217.7
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,694Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,693.89
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$179.46
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+206.9%+$403.81
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$533.71
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$201.56
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.01
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.81
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.29
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$710.7
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,218.02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$306.57
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.3
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.34
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$252.29
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$656.78
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+900%+$718.76
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$262.77
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$336.15
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.37
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100.78
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.54
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.35
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.35
Will Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,381.55
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$374.04
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,006.92
All 19 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-85.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,868.24
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,191.01
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.14
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.71
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.47
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.8
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.21
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.04
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.47
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$434.36
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.15
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$671.65
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.74
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Team to Advancebacked UMF Stjarnan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,566
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,609.98
Spread: Ilves Tampere (-1.5)backed UMF Stjarnan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$329.65
Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,737.72
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,192.25
Will FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,818.93
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,599.81
Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)backed Rams Başakşehir FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,471.15
Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-2.5)backed Rams Başakşehir FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will UMF Stjarnan win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,319.99
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$918.19
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 0 Aston Villa FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+168.7%+$2,597.84
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,644.55
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$897.82
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,876.24
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,523Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.7%+$1,354.03
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$239.25
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,067.22
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$692.33
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,468.95
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+533.8%+$3,125.47
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$480.8
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$290.22
Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.18
All 15 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Harris English finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,838.19
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,609.16
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,658Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$1,814.77
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,369.85
Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$6.51
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$880
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,340
Will Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$132.01
Will Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$119.04
Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$964.94
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$476.36
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.61
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.25
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,643.4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$6,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,279.98
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$6,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,507.75
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.47
Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,713.73
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+361.7%+$763.46
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$147.67
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-52.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$640
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$2,370
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.94
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.94
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.76
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.15
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.49
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$221.11
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,899.98
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$77.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+481.6%+$4,203.57
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,475.52
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.03
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.38
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.55
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.83
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+232.2%+$692.47
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.64
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.82
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$72.28
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,473.85
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+281.1%+$670.5
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$216.63
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,952.78
Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.07
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+40.1%+$336.37
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+138.5%+$123.73
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$416.36
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$125.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,429.94
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+497%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+497%+$3,258.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$129.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+391%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+391%+$153.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.