La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bddb3ec9c257447789c15a182aea1b5887a0e476e449678d2f2a61ef5b13294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 16,831$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 8c | 6,241$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.28 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 8c | 3,061$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 8c | 2,840$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 66c | 2,038$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.88 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 1,803$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Under | 8c | 1,565$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 67c | 1,209$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 73c | 1,190$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 999.43$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.83 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 80c | 907$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 699.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 66c | 687.42$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 74c | 675.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 68c | 600$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 67c | 578.85$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 64c | 559.01$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.24 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 64c | 312.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 78c | 255.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…74fcbacked Under | 36c | 235.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 68c | 161.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 66c | 151.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…c4efbacked Over | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…5b71backed Over | 69c | 144.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Under | 15c | 140.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…7b20backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 66c | 130.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…d9bcbacked Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b9…640dbacked Over | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Over | 69c | 109.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Under | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 79c | 106.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Under | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…3262backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…6a04backed Over | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 34c | 96.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 67c | 95.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e0e0backed Over | 71c | 79.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 69c | 77.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9e…87c9backed Over | 68c | 73.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cb…1f3cbacked Over | 65c | 69.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 33c | 64.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af8…a095backed Over | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…4c5abacked Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Over | 70c | 53.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…b066backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…bb75backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…b1e3backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…d35dbacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…17ccbacked Over | 73c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Over | 66c | 45.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…ccc8backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Over | 65c | 39.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…597dbacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…2aabbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d5f5backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Over | 67c | 27.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…be6dbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.