TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd395…3731

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9135.2%32 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+477.2%+$198.33
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.67
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.06
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.21
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+525%+$78.75
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$94.24
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+300%+$45
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+126.1%+$44.14
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+300%+$60
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$84.09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.27
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$116.99
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$27.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$42.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.42
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.55
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.35
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.95
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.9
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$69.07
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.97
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$96.05
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.09
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.78
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+80.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+1,321.9%+$137.35
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.61
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.22
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia win Pool C at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
Will Korea win Pool C at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+317.4%+$106.86
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
First Round Pool C: Czechia vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.8
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$46.2
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+30%+$11.69
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+506.1%+$167
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Flame Sharks vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$4.65
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: 33 vs GenOne (BO3)backed 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-79.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick25cpaid+220.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+145.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+33.5%+$30.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Konyaspor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.