CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Flame Sharks vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb014258cff5071bc0b56c7740e658ece0afdf339f691616d747e1bf9e353b9a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Flame Sharks, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flame Sharks | 27c | 154.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Misa Esports | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flame Sharks | 30c | 71.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Flame Sharks | 31c | 54.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Flame Sharks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a35…d15cbacked Misa Esports | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…3eb4backed Flame Sharks | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Flame Sharks | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Flame Sharks | 37c | 46.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…7f7abacked Misa Esports | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed Misa Esports | 66c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Misa Esports | 73c | 17.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…ddb9backed Flame Sharks | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Flame Sharks vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Flame Sharks vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.