TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa27a…ddb9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+52.2%+$8.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+140%+$18.08
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+36.8%+$9.68
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.9%+$6.05
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+50.9%+$6.75
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$32.34
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.8%+$14.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+41.8%+$10.02
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$82.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.63
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+167.3%+$42.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+30.3%+$4.18
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.91
Counter-Strike: Flame Sharks vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked Flame Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+30.3%+$6.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.2%+$5.76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+103.2%+$29.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.56
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$43.38
Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsenbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
Dallas Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.32
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+30.2%+$5.8
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$19.8
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+79.8%+$9.94
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Hailey Baptistebacked Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.67
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+97.5%+$13.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+70.2%+$9.9
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.55
Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.95
Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.74
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.8
Millwall FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.95
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$17.61
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.71
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+159.7%+$17.83
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+161.7%+$16.69
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.2%+$16.73
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$8.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.66
LoL: Los Ratones vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.3%+$15.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.