CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x140a2f4409b91f99b656a91e5902aaf0552f400d7efd2fe4522417708f359b81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $611,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $680,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked OG | 52c | 115,271$60,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,399.89 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked fnatic | 46c | 66,925$30,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,139.95 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked fnatic | 46c | 48,270$22,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,066.04 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…2a3dbacked OG | 1c | 41,737$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed OG | 66c | 24,076$15,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,962.41 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked fnatic | 45c | 22,234$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,234.05 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked OG | 56c | 15,974$8,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,945.7 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed fnatic | 44c | 15,900$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,903.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed OG | 19c | 14,188$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.39 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 18c | 12,340$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked fnatic | 47c | 12,160$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,445.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked OG | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed fnatic | 71c | 10,884$7,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.32 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked fnatic | 75c | 10,000$7,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…55fabacked OG | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked fnatic | 47c | 9,161$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.6 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed OG | 27c | 9,113$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed OG | 0c | 8,647$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…36b9backed OG | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 41c | 7,501$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.07 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked fnatic | 43c | 7,143$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.14 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed fnatic | 45c | 6,666$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked OG | 5c | 6,397$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked OG | 25c | 6,257$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.93 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed fnatic | 40c | 5,711$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.27 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed fnatic | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.99 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 42c | 5,210$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.6 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed fnatic | 72c | 5,058$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.24 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 49c | 4,999$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.37 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed fnatic | 45c | 4,456$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.05 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed OG | 53c | 4,161$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.49 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed fnatic | 77c | 3,915$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 17c | 3,753$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.96 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed fnatic | 47c | 3,609$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.89 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed fnatic | 59c | 3,348$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.97 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked fnatic | 67c | 2,956$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.62 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed OG | 55c | 2,896$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.94 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed fnatic | 57c | 2,883$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.72 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked fnatic | 60c | 2,540$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed OG | 29c | 2,424$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed OG | 28c | 2,321$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed OG | 15c | 2,215$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.06 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed fnatic | 66c | 2,125$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.99 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed OG | 36c | 2,118$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.68 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed OG | 57c | 2,072$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.77 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed fnatic | 45c | 2,000$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.49 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed fnatic | 73c | 1,946$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.27 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed fnatic | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked fnatic | 68c | 1,803$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.27 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked OG | 56c | 1,745$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…511dbacked OG | 59c | 1,738$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked OG | 53c | 1,732$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.29 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed OG | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.99 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked OG | 33c | 1,580$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.94 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked OG | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed fnatic | 79c | 1,508$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.04 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed OG | 4c | 1,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked OG | 30c | 1,367$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.08 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked fnatic | 60c | 1,273$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.91 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 46c | 1,270$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.91 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed OG | 14c | 1,211$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed OG | 28c | 1,205$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.04 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked OG | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked fnatic | 45c | 1,117$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.89 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked OG | 29c | 1,091$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed fnatic | 60c | 1,085$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed OG | 11c | 1,031$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked fnatic | 61c | 1,020$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked OG | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed OG | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed fnatic | 40c | 994.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.99 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…a8e9backed fnatic | 77c | 978.28$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed fnatic | 48c | 975$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed OG | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…9291backed OG | 33c | 960.65$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed OG | 35c | 938.13$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.85 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed OG | 7c | 903.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked fnatic | 54c | 874.14$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.14 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked fnatic | 45c | 859.93$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed OG | 69c | 838.79$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked fnatic | 60c | 832$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked OG | 13c | 830.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed OG | 28c | 801.79$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.94 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked OG | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked OG | 45c | 785.8$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…456fbacked fnatic | 71c | 782.59$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.14 | 125 | 68.8%86 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed fnatic | 61c | 777.48$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.48 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 61c | 740.07$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked fnatic | 71c | 687.11$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…9f23backed fnatic | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed OG | 14c | 645.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed OG | 51c | 637.32$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…a700backed fnatic | 59c | 602.06$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.03 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked OG | 23c | 582.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed fnatic | 45c | 577.78$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked OG | 54c | 557.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb183…0badbacked OG | 23c | 546.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked OG | 50c | 544$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed OG | 63c | 543.35$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.