CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd65165a02fd845524885a9047789e60d15bdd8f11020ef074e7566d6a5f8e7b

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: fnaticof fnatic, OG
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $83,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,032 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9d93…2cf1backed fnatic	55c	6,131$3,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,782.41	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	-13.6wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked OG	49c	5,281$2,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,603.84	424	40.3%171 W · 253 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked OG	25c	4,146$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,057.11	271	33.2%90 W · 181 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked fnatic	71c	3,166$2,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.48	1,040	44%458 W · 582 L	-22.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked fnatic	51c	2,743$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.14	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked OG	53c	2,015$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.67	141	44%62 W · 79 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed OG	46c	1,937$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.74	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed fnatic	65c	1,775$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.61	260	46.9%122 W · 138 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG	45c	1,386$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.64	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked OG	11c	1,167$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.07	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-36%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca9c…1007backed OG	25c	1,131$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.79	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked fnatic	50c	1,122$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.95	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed OG	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	159	62.9%100 W · 59 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked fnatic	60c	965.29$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.05	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed fnatic	54c	928.83$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.83	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed OG	36c	787.77$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.45	133	32.3%43 W · 90 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG	27c	749.68$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.39	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed OG	31c	714.86$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.16	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed OG	18c	666.08$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	550	43.1%237 W · 313 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed fnatic	72c	600$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.25	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed OG	37c	542.81$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	258	45.7%118 W · 140 L	-18.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed fnatic	50c	540$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed OG	46c	529.14$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked fnatic	46c	364.3$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.88	352	42.9%151 W · 201 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed OG	39c	362.71$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x205c…1cdbbacked OG	27c	329.98$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed OG	9c	317.98$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.53	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed OG	25c	303.98$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.1	175	48%84 W · 91 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed fnatic	70c	300.94$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.94	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed OG	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed OG	54c	280$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	192	47.9%92 W · 100 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed fnatic	45c	274.12$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.65	154	42.2%65 W · 89 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ecd…091dbacked fnatic	44c	273.81$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.81	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked OG	19c	242.84$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.14	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed fnatic	65c	235.69$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	698	63%440 W · 258 L	+65.3wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed fnatic	76c	225.02$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.97	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked fnatic	55c	221.64$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.33	59	61%36 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG	23c	205.74$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.59	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked OG	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.7	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed fnatic	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.16	420	57.6%242 W · 178 L	+19.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed OG	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	299	34.4%103 W · 196 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70e7…a700backed fnatic	51c	195.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.1	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed OG	52c	191.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-10.0wins	-0.24per pick	45cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed OG	53c	189.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed fnatic	79c	180$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.6	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	70cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed fnatic	65c	172$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.2	227	61.7%140 W · 87 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed fnatic	67c	149.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.38	313	72.8%228 W · 85 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked OG	21c	149$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.29	477	38.4%183 W · 294 L	-26.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed fnatic	60c	146.81$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.31	182	65.9%120 W · 62 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed fnatic	74c	134.64$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.64	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed fnatic	74c	129.94$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.72	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed OG	19c	115.42$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked OG	57c	104.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3731…405fbacked OG	53c	100.79$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32b…90c8backed fnatic	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed fnatic	67c	94.24$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.4	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed OG	33c	93$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed OG	33c	89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.57	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked fnatic	59c	81.41$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.68	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked fnatic	44c	80.12$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.17	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked fnatic	73c	80$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.8	812	46.2%375 W · 437 L	-35.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked fnatic	79c	78.67$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.71	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	62cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed OG	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed fnatic	75c	74.12$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.53	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8a…d30fbacked fnatic	52c	69.23$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.23	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed fnatic	67c	68.66$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.66	139	64%89 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed OG	27c	65.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdd9a…796cbacked fnatic	64c	62.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed OG	54c	62$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.52	84	35.7%30 W · 54 L	-9.3wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9617…415fbacked OG	19c	57.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed OG	19c	54.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed OG	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	317	31.9%101 W · 216 L	-13.4wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c9…8368backed fnatic	62c	47.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1531…f303backed fnatic	70c	46.82$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eee…74e0backed fnatic	52c	43.27$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.77	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb55…159abacked OG	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad97…4f4dbacked fnatic	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked fnatic	72c	37.2$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.49	446	41.3%184 W · 262 L	-28.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed OG	51c	31.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	374	48.4%181 W · 193 L	-16.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed fnatic	60c	31.26$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b0…053ebacked fnatic	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x285d…f500backed fnatic	77c	21.97$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.95	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	59cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed fnatic	51c	20.51$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	145	47.6%69 W · 76 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked fnatic	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0215…15f4backed fnatic	80c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7994…c8c3backed fnatic	77c	13.78$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.16	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsfnatic won
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event