TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7635…63f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,009
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT45739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 457 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.33
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.55
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+360.2%+$407
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.12
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$30.24
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+581.8%+$179.2
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$34.59
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.99
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.27
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$413
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.33
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.31
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.89
Showing 25 of 457 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT21440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 214 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$320
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.99
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.99
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.34
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.58
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+534.9%+$337
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$2,667.59
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Showing 25 of 214 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT17548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$65.96
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$93.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.71
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$6.64
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$9.49
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.29
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.01
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$277.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$152.75
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.47
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$52.21
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$92.5
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$66.5
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$82.76
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Norway vs. France: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$270
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.21
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.03
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$260.8
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.65
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$515
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$76.75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.28
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.35
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$118.44
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.33
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$642
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-66.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$83
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$992.12
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,184.38
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59.71
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 3 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$87
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$10.9
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$290
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$339.83
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+106.9%+$620
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$199.85
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+57.3%+$61.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$374.99
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$69
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+300%+$75
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$257.87
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$520.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$77.27
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$754.4
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$144.62
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$298.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$96.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-75%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+83.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.