TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$397,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$434,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ34c100,202$33,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,875.3650054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Vitality66c87,116$57,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,619.4225355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vitality67c19,278$12,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,454.5623145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ24c12,692$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.611,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked MOUZ51c9,867$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked MOUZ31c6,928$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.379855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ34c5,501$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.171,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked MOUZ49c5,250$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.333844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed MOUZ48c5,187$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.915155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Vitality68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55064852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked MOUZ18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vitality49c4,436$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.7481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked MOUZ18c4,309$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.4522129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Vitality67c3,795$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.3414947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Vitality61c3,515$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.2245646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vitality73c3,288$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.711,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Vitality77c3,089$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.115,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ20c3,061$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.974,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Vitality73c2,902$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78178043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ22c2,476$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.1978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ30c2,307$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.621,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked Vitality76c2,120$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.244660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed MOUZ32c2,116$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.1221854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ35c2,111$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.755,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ33c2,101$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.8888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ34c2,000$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.272,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Vitality50c1,813$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.257439.2%29 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Vitality67c1,669$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.4438868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ40c1,663$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.1817538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed MOUZ42c1,655$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.5928943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed MOUZ27c1,650$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.4948437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed MOUZ49c1,618$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80017554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Vitality60c1,602$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.7610150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Vitality49c1,600$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.9951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Vitality68c1,600$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.9942651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Vitality66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vitality70c1,457$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.6344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed MOUZ29c1,452$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.6721135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Vitality69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Vitality68c1,423$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.4713360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Vitality67c1,372$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6432542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Vitality58c1,296$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.9219659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Vitality78c1,275$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0538454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Vitality61c1,094$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.5987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed MOUZ37c1,050$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.4916633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Vitality68c1,010$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.235460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed Vitality52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Vitality50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ47c1,000$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46554732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed MOUZ10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ31c999.73$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.041,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed MOUZ51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked MOUZ51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017967.6%121 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ27c970.51$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.282,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Vitality65c960.68$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.2839548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2b…2c91backed MOUZ32c951.63$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed MOUZ32c940.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.171540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality78c935.66$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.961,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality64c929.08$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked MOUZ52c926.42$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.5211871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Vitality65c913.81$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.541,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ28c895.91$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.631,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Vitality78c894.04$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed Vitality65c882.79$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30912759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ51c879.18$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2835242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Vitality73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.929250%46 W · 46 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked MOUZ38c820.92$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31323038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked Vitality62c802.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6610337.9%39 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Vitality65c776.86$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3611265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality54c741.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.4881751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed MOUZ40c732.62$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0446749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ31c708.43$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.992,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ33c700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23144939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Vitality50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Vitality74c678.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2140048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9044…dcedbacked Vitality68c672.06$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.136755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Vitality59c658.88$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4727751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ29c639.97$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0940253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Vitality63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.922744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Vitality75c608.19$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.162,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Vitality76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1449454.3%51 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ35c596.82$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.841,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed Vitality80c591$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.220067%134 W · 66 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4620…ea85backed MOUZ42c588.07$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.993748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked MOUZ36c567.12$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5712642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Vitality67c563.54$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4262738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Vitality78c537$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.512,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Vitality77c532.99$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1514042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked MOUZ38c527.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c0…1002backed Vitality76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.326762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ38c520.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8125846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a63…f259backed MOUZ33c516.45$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…f9c4backed Vitality50c514.17$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.276546.2%30 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5dd…642abacked Vitality60c504.03$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.033243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Vitality60c500$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.522556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed MOUZ41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ24c500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.811,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed MOUZ3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.