CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aea4e50e56392bd19c5d7afb3c9cee5a0720ca98ae1c537fd36ac4216f92d4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 42c | 4,162$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 58c | 2,410$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.72 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 57c | 2,011$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.14 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 43c | 1,638$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.45 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 58c | 1,141$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.51 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 57c | 928$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.96 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Under | 72c | 837.08$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.21 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 65c | 659.83$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Over | 43c | 580.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…c637backed Over | 42c | 463.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 41c | 444.97$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.53 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 394.06$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.56 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Under | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 43c | 298.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 58c | 293$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…9b50backed Over | 42c | 290.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.71 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 60c | 283$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 43c | 224.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 58c | 212.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 38c | 208.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Under | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 58c | 154.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Under | 20c | 153.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Over | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 56c | 133$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 58c | 126.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 47c | 124.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 118.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…780bbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 42c | 111.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 30c | 111.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 97.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed Under | 59c | 84.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 49c | 78.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 29c | 75.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 68c | 71.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…eb54backed Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…8c4dbacked Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 58c | 50.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…6dc9backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 59c | 43.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…e2c0backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 34.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Under | 58c | 21.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 55c | 20.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…c631backed Under | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.