TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc7d…8895

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
557
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT28252.5%148 W · 134 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 282 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$112.23
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$75.31
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$75.95
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.46
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$88.62
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$97.03
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$574
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.33
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$134.38
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.82
Showing 25 of 282 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT22460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 224 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.89
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$44.3
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$29.95
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$63.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$27
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.19
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$39.11
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$54.21
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$40.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$37.54
Showing 25 of 224 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$326.93
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$53.51
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$318.85
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$425.34
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$79.37
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$45.13
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+65%+$649.8
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$443.28
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$105.61
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$478.37
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$283
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Abus Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.07
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ozzy Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
All 22 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.