UFC · resolved market
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b379f83a7f2c6b0daee16c5ba4a3eaef3d03303a8604e060fe2e28fdecc5b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bo Nickalof Kyle Daukaus, Bo Nickal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $772,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $772,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 764 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bo Nickal | 75c | 308,269$231,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,067.29 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 118,596$29,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,649 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Kyle Daukaus | 24c | 116,447$27,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,947.26 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 50,998$12,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,704.86 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Bo Nickal | 76c | 50,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kyle Daukaus | 20c | 47,748$9,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,419.12 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 47,315$11,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,828.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Bo Nickal | 76c | 21,858$16,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Bo Nickal | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Kyle Daukaus | 28c | 17,955$4,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.04 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Bo Nickal | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 13,405$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.17 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Bo Nickal | 74c | 12,759$9,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.35 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bo Nickal | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c6ebbacked Kyle Daukaus | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 9,626$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.39 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bo Nickal | 74c | 9,126$6,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.69 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Bo Nickal | 72c | 8,191$5,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bo Nickal | 75c | 7,888$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Kyle Daukaus | 27c | 7,691$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 7,280$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 7,003$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bo Nickal | 74c | 7,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.96 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Bo Nickal | 73c | 6,054$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.59 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 5,971$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.03 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kyle Daukaus | 19c | 5,523$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.71 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bo Nickal | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Kyle Daukaus | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Bo Nickal | 77c | 4,305$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kyle Daukaus | 10c | 4,176$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.36 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Bo Nickal | 76c | 4,099$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Kyle Daukaus | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Bo Nickal | 73c | 3,723$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kyle Daukaus | 26c | 3,433$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.71 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Kyle Daukaus | 26c | 3,325$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.18 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kyle Daukaus | 28c | 3,150$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bo Nickal | 72c | 3,105$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.51 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Bo Nickal | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bo Nickal | 80c | 2,942$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.83 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Kyle Daukaus | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e055backed Bo Nickal | 76c | 2,728$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Kyle Daukaus | 26c | 2,650$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Bo Nickal | 76c | 2,566$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.79 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Kyle Daukaus | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…3ababacked Kyle Daukaus | 21c | 2,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Bo Nickal | 78c | 2,500$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Kyle Daukaus | 26c | 2,420$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.17 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed Kyle Daukaus | 26c | 2,310$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.27 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Kyle Daukaus | 28c | 2,300$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bo Nickal | 75c | 2,111$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.97 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…eaaebacked Bo Nickal | 76c | 2,107$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 2,050$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…8cfcbacked Bo Nickal | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…889bbacked Kyle Daukaus | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Kyle Daukaus | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,956$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Kyle Daukaus | 26c | 1,919$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.06 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,800$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Bo Nickal | 73c | 1,667$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.73 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Kyle Daukaus | 27c | 1,655$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.85 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Bo Nickal | 74c | 1,653$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.86 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,559$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,534$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.51 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Bo Nickal | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…ad37backed Kyle Daukaus | 26c | 1,462$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Bo Nickal | 74c | 1,400$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Kyle Daukaus | 21c | 1,381$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kyle Daukaus | 21c | 1,365$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,341$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.58 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,332$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…f2aebacked Bo Nickal | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Bo Nickal | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Kyle Daukaus | 27c | 1,304$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.2 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bo Nickal | 73c | 1,303$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bo Nickal | 74c | 1,163$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.43 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…0f63backed Bo Nickal | 74c | 1,111$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…6983backed Kyle Daukaus | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bo Nickal | 74c | 1,079$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.64 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +10.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Kyle Daukaus | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bo Nickal | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Kyle Daukaus | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Bo Nickal | 73c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f9…df8cbacked Kyle Daukaus | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbee…95cbbacked Kyle Daukaus | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed Bo Nickal | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Bo Nickal | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bo Nickal | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Kyle Daukaus | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 960$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Bo Nickal | 79c | 943.43$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.43 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Kyle Daukaus | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Bo Nickal | 72c | 899.98$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Bo Nickal win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.