TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3535…a775

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$768.05
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24,889Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22,974.84
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,395.7
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,700.7
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,422.29
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,849.69
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,866.52
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,923.19
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$9,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,580.63
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,548.54
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,119.96
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,280.88
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,052.72
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$11,869.07
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24,128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+376.3%+$90,789.37
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,043.01
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+380.3%+$41,837.13
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,287.39
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19,568Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17,352.67
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,774.63
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,731.85
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,025.69
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,989.01
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,176.66
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,435.3
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,405.12
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27,466.72
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$55,567.07
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,794Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$8,789.35
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43,201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$43,200.64
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26,000.81
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,270.51
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20,817Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$22,757.94
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31,574Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$37,066.32
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,401.73
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19,566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18,798.34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19,284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18,527.54
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,443.62
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$8,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,240.35
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Hyder Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,869.37
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,634.62
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,337.1
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,499.52
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,828.64
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,450.27
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.