TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Chicago Cubs, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$905,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$903,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3535…a775backed Colorado Rockies41c142,319$58,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,968.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Chicago Cubs7c117,571$8,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,522.28220.7%17 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Colorado Rockies40c96,627$38,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,976.4623948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago Cubs51c66,328$33,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,810.161,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Cubs60c58,333$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,00023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs36c43,924$15,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,836.064,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs59c36,928$21,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,618.1277053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Chicago Cubs60c35,757$21,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,361.6113045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Colorado Rockies66c30,000$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20026056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,80038148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs59c15,133$8,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,928.53,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs59c12,422$7,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,328.891,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies65c10,212$6,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Colorado Rockies42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Colorado Rockies41c8,963$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,287.9789153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Chicago Cubs44c8,239$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.52650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Chicago Cubs13c7,912$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs41c6,201$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.3912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies77c6,139$4,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.816,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Colorado Rockies41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,54014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago Cubs59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,54044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs59c4,237$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.831,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.045,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs24c3,177$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.678,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Colorado Rockies78c3,077$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66328453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago Cubs35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05054048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Colorado Rockies41c2,913$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.8928944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Chicago Cubs12c2,798$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9952228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs20c2,617$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.882,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs60c2,520$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.231,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs56c2,340$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.571,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs19c2,216$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.348,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Colorado Rockies67c2,136$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.4927450.7%139 W · 135 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Colorado Rockies40c1,828$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.512937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs59c1,583$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.0151547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Colorado Rockies42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87043253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Chicago Cubs22c1,400$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3765651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Colorado Rockies40c1,400$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Colorado Rockies43c1,388$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.2737348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Chicago Cubs60c1,269$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.3614152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Colorado Rockies41c1,250$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.529147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Cubs37c1,233$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago Cubs20c1,193$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.951,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Colorado Rockies56c1,077$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.883,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies55c1,062$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.14,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Chicago Cubs23c1,052$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9413225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs31c1,049$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.489,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Chicago Cubs17c1,002$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.997321.9%16 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd82…9f66backed Chicago Cubs60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015937.7%60 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x080b…27a6backed Chicago Cubs8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Colorado Rockies40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011642.2%49 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Colorado Rockies41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59051449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Colorado Rockies41c979$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.6169453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs59c966.78$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.42,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Colorado Rockies68c923.78$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.0579255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies41c822.72$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.266,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Chicago Cubs5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406432.8%21 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Colorado Rockies41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7113441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27370735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8721…c2b1backed Colorado Rockies43c699.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3993100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13b7…c98fbacked Chicago Cubs60c688.78$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.273941%16 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies76c680.72$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.612,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs22c649.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.24,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Chicago Cubs60c617.85$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.7111551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b62…1fe9backed Chicago Cubs13c603.39$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806533.8%22 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Colorado Rockies78c600.01$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.671,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Colorado Rockies42c600$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35137748.8%184 W · 193 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Chicago Cubs60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36039846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Colorado Rockies42c600$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35124448.4%118 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Chicago Cubs3c599.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16515.9%3 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+188.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Colorado Rockies68c588.36$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.031,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…1612backed Colorado Rockies44c555$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs40c547.18$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.062,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Colorado Rockies41c502.98$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7644643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Colorado Rockies42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29032850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Chicago Cubs34c499.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9936729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Colorado Rockies41c490$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.16552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Colorado Rockies41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.86953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Colorado Rockies41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.824350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Chicago Cubs55c487.11$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9115650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Colorado Rockies42c476$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.081,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Colorado Rockies41c466.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5368846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Colorado Rockies41c449.95$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4754945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x034f…b1abbacked Colorado Rockies44c429$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago Cubs59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies78c416$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.655,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb85…f0a4backed Chicago Cubs26c411.54$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked Chicago Cubs14c410$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.76341.3%26 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec1a…c742backed Chicago Cubs17c406.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.04283.6%1 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-92.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Colorado Rockies72c404.43$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.91,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Chicago Cubs27c401.96$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5316543%71 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f4…4b84backed Colorado Rockies44c399$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Chicago Cubs34c384.48$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0157758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Chicago Cubs15c381$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2740043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6b…9b5abacked Chicago Cubs26c376.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.821533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Colorado Rockies65c375$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8211662.9%73 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Colorado Rockies42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1432350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies43c355$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.351,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.