TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb60…137a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Middle East, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Middle East at 50 out of 100; worst NHL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT9435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.53
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.03
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$558.98
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,361.35
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$735.97
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$813.48
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.95
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,286.45
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.03
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.29
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.35
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.14
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.69
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.17
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.3
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$148.8
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$402.8
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$238
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$312
Kraken vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$117
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$202.4
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$964.98
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,152.63
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$374
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$886.79
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$511.5
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,428Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+190.2%+$2,716.16
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,330.59
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$26.4
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$37.58
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$565
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,352Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+97%+$10,043.3
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$286
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$306
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$365
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,520.78
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-90.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$180
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$624
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$572.6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+45%+$609.11
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$61.67
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,703.98
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+623.7%+$1,271.06
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.69
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.41
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$208.43
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$162.8
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,331
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,445.73
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$157
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.25
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$342.87
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$950
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$41.3
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$761.99
Bitcoin all time high by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$273
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 September 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-74.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.68
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Dayton Flyersbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$384
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,405.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.