TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Ravens vs. Browns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ravensof Ravens, Browns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,245,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,255,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,245,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Browns21c461,959$96,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,972.368344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Browns21c110,751$22,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,793.357035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Ravens79c101,014$79,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,212.947554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Ravens79c100,000$79,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,0009359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Ravens79c100,000$79,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.995453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Browns39c78,874$31,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,124.2873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Ravens79c51,000$40,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,71053253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ravens52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,00013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Ravens79c40,268$31,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,458.9620755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Browns21c37,323$7,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,911.2544652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Ravens63c33,385$21,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,307.3530043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Browns43c27,028$11,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,644.248532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Ravens79c23,687$18,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,974.271421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Browns39c22,776$8,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,987.539944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ravens79c20,841$16,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,376.571,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e11…82a9backed Ravens61c19,628$12,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,571.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Browns20c19,108$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.5830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Browns41c17,505$7,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,190.7875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ravens66c16,395$10,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,505.6423244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Ravens59c14,576$8,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,003.5911643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Ravens57c12,502$7,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,403.294264.3%27 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Ravens71c11,465$8,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.9719551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Browns21c11,053$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.1347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ravens79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Ravens79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.998845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Ravens79c9,999$7,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.797655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Ravens79c9,457$7,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.957248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Browns16c8,211$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.943056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Ravens79c7,971$6,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.5924351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Browns43c7,858$3,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.6456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Ravens79c7,340$5,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.189359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc86d…c53fbacked Ravens58c6,849$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Browns21c6,750$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.57440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d98…e447backed Ravens80c6,596$5,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.25560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…b243backed Browns21c6,519$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+132.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9571…1d98backed Ravens52c6,308$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+112.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe19a…87bbbacked Ravens80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Ravens80c6,240$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2484852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Browns41c6,018$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.9931848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x429b…0688backed Browns21c5,983$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Ravens61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Ravens79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Ravens52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40011252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Browns49c4,704$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3006338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ravens68c4,628$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.8360049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Ravens58c4,569$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.357534.7%26 W · 49 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Ravens79c4,500$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9923937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Browns19c4,489$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.823423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Ravens62c4,095$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.291936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Ravens63c4,008$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Browns20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Browns25c3,739$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.759754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Browns20c3,471$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.7983447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Browns31c3,438$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.2631854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Ravens61c3,278$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.045650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Ravens79c3,127$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.6414757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Browns31c3,080$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.6916254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Ravens65c3,066$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.9722434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Browns43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Ravens79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Ravens61c2,776$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.723748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Browns28c2,653$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.6223850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Ravens51c2,600$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2744628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Browns34c2,523$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.188164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Ravens53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17513843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Ravens79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5257050%35 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Ravens79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52510434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Browns7c2,500$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.918044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a25…3598backed Ravens80c2,431$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.251573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Browns19c2,255$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.584422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…adf9backed Ravens60c2,200$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Ravens70c2,054$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.616960.9%42 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Ravens79c2,042$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.896544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Browns20c2,016$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.239242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Browns27c2,009$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.7850242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Ravens80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Browns4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Ravens80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Ravens80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Ravens73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Browns21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Browns21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Ravens61c1,921$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.4111027.3%30 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Browns45c1,907$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.486955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Browns11c1,894$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3310026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b73…c1acbacked Ravens80c1,875$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Browns21c1,819$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826536.9%24 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Browns21c1,800$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.414443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Browns42c1,787$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7494540%18 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Ravens80c1,750$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3505261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f8…a547backed Browns21c1,737$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824d…a040backed Browns43c1,674$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Ravens58c1,653$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.2112039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Browns51c1,652$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.255527.3%15 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Browns1c1,555$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.554311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Browns48c1,538$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.3127348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Ravens64c1,479$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.755230.8%16 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Ravens79c1,424$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.0586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Browns21c1,400$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3627633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e07…3497backed Ravens80c1,375$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.