TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Ravens (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brownsof Ravens, Browns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Ravens49c155,975$76,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,640.2786547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Browns51c94,084$47,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,101.15764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ravens51c35,000$17,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,842.6613654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Browns50c31,475$15,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,828.0417647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Browns51c21,099$10,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,338.477657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Browns50c21,005$10,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,602.6424957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns51c20,400$10,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,995.9336246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Browns49c19,376$9,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,881.819944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Browns51c18,561$9,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,09517454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Ravens51c10,392$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Ravens49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90012944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Ravens50c7,901$3,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,928.4347738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Ravens51c7,451$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80013641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Browns49c6,500$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,31510650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Browns50c4,500$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b7…c080backed Ravens50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Ravens49c3,402$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.9918156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Browns51c2,488$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.1253348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Ravens49c2,429$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1908856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Ravens50c2,050$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02528447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Ravens49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Ravens50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Browns51c1,774$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.2247348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Browns49c1,525$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.591,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Browns51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73518044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae5…b896backed Ravens50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc79…6b98backed Ravens50c1,070$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.912352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2054…533ebacked Ravens43c1,000$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Browns49c857$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.0739754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Browns49c816$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.161,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Browns49c786.89$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.6173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Browns60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30068446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Ravens50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ravens49c501$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ravens49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24556852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Browns52c484.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5411547%54 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Browns49c429$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7931450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Browns51c393$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5716346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4886…f7cdbacked Ravens51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Ravens51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Browns49c369.53$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4653253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9da3…a7efbacked Ravens50c359.2$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.612054.2%65 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Browns50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16030442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Ravens51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509940.4%40 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Browns50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13014949%73 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa63f…7a4bbacked Ravens55c260$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Browns50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12560049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…4cb4backed Ravens44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Browns50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1116453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Browns49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf326…52f9backed Ravens49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Browns50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007741.6%32 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Ravens51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Browns51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0812445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Ravens51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.520632%66 W · 140 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Ravens51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.513448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Browns49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.58047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Browns50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Browns68c110$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.632347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Browns51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.95246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Ravens50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd547…f7a8backed Ravens33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb29…a7fcbacked Ravens49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Ravens51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c09…a69fbacked Ravens51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e4…9edabacked Ravens51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Ravens51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016946.7%79 W · 90 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Ravens51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff5c…fc1abacked Ravens51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…8416backed Ravens51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459757.7%56 W · 41 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Ravens50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Browns73c79.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.165164.7%33 W · 18 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ravens49c77.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0736341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Ravens50c50.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1523647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Ravens50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Browns50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e2…bd6dbacked Browns51c40.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Browns50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Ravens50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Browns50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32da…b112backed Ravens51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203974.4%29 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c56…9774backed Ravens51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Browns51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2219844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3303…03afbacked Ravens51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Browns49c32.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3741450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1b…65d8backed Ravens51c30.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Browns50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1516957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Ravens41c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.120354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Browns50c26.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3883447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Browns50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Browns50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Browns50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Browns50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ea0…0b68backed Browns50c21.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd9…00b1backed Browns51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Browns50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Browns50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103464.7%22 W · 12 L+7.6wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+103%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x97b7…ece2backed Browns50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b5…8541backed Browns50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Browns50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.