NFL · resolved market
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc5c1dd06450013e9aae498d1a1b75d987538b2701ab7e5ea1c2b4e1b3dcb85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Ravens, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ravens | 49c | 155,975$76,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,640.27 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Browns | 51c | 94,084$47,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,101.1 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ravens | 51c | 35,000$17,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,842.66 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Browns | 50c | 31,475$15,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,828.04 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Browns | 51c | 21,099$10,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,338.47 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Browns | 50c | 21,005$10,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,602.64 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns | 51c | 20,400$10,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,995.93 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Browns | 49c | 19,376$9,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,881.81 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Browns | 51c | 18,561$9,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,095 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Ravens | 51c | 10,392$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Ravens | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ravens | 50c | 7,901$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.43 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Ravens | 51c | 7,451$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Browns | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Browns | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c080backed Ravens | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Ravens | 49c | 3,402$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.99 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Browns | 51c | 2,488$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.12 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Ravens | 49c | 2,429$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Ravens | 50c | 2,050$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ravens | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Ravens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Browns | 51c | 1,774$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.22 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Browns | 49c | 1,525$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.59 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Browns | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Ravens | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…6b98backed Ravens | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…533ebacked Ravens | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Browns | 49c | 857$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.07 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Browns | 49c | 816$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Browns | 49c | 786.89$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.61 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Browns | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Ravens | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ravens | 49c | 501$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ravens | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Browns | 52c | 484.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Browns | 49c | 429$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Browns | 51c | 393$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…f7cdbacked Ravens | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Ravens | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Browns | 49c | 369.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Ravens | 50c | 359.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Browns | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Ravens | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Browns | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…7a4bbacked Ravens | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Browns | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…4cb4backed Ravens | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Browns | 50c | 222$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Browns | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf326…52f9backed Ravens | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Browns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Ravens | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Browns | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Ravens | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Ravens | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Browns | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Browns | 68c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Browns | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Ravens | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Ravens | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…a7fcbacked Ravens | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Ravens | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Ravens | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…9edabacked Ravens | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Ravens | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Ravens | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…fc1abacked Ravens | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…8416backed Ravens | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Ravens | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Browns | 73c | 79.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ravens | 49c | 77.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Ravens | 50c | 50.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Ravens | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Browns | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Browns | 51c | 40.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Browns | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Ravens | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Browns | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…b112backed Ravens | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…9774backed Ravens | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Browns | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Ravens | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Browns | 49c | 32.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1b…65d8backed Ravens | 51c | 30.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Browns | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Ravens | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 50c | 26.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Browns | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Browns | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Browns | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Browns | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea0…0b68backed Browns | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Browns | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Browns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Browns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +103%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Browns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…8541backed Browns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Browns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)this page
- Ravens vs. BrownsRavens won
- Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 38.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 39.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 40.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: Ravens (-8.5)Browns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.