TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc79…6b98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST3253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$189.77
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$109.55
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$293.45
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$218.93
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.6%+$330.67
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+212.5%+$553.54
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$356.88
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$117.34
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$315.67
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$308
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$277.04
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$184.84
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$369.38
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$649.99
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$244.6
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$210.39
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$231.55
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$244
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST2352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lions (-13.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$502.75
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$496.75
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$534.91
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$115.54
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$101.01
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$261.23
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.3%+$216.57
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$314.38
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$227.24
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.5%+$389.71
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$600
49ers vs. Giantsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$317.14
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$595.72
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.12
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$240.27
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$105
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$202
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$352
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$452.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$496.5
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$225
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+39.9%+$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$140.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$73.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.