NFL · resolved market

Colts vs. Chargers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc931a0aee25adf6f2eee087df23d417f7be2ebec4fe65a4f8b2dde16ba077416

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Coltsof Colts, Chargers
Resolved: Oct 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,224,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,249,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,224,127 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 534 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Chargers	57c	1,300,000$741,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740,999.93	111	45.9%51 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Colts	43c	1,195,573$515,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679,802.55	418	51.9%217 W · 201 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Chargers	56c	368,502$207,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207,802.37	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Colts	54c	134,682$72,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,002.2	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Colts	43c	119,387$51,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68,050.59	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed Chargers	57c	94,651$53,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,951.32	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Chargers	13c	94,334$12,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,644.14	318	48.1%153 W · 165 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Colts	43c	77,274$33,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,046.09	229	50.2%115 W · 114 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Chargers	15c	71,088$10,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,858.66	419	47.3%198 W · 221 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Colts	42c	70,062$29,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,636.17	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chargers	9c	69,007$6,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,445.17	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Chargers	55c	58,199$31,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,810.39	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Colts	45c	50,000$22,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,500	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Colts	45c	50,000$22,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,499.9	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Colts	43c	49,520$21,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,226.12	335	53.4%179 W · 156 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Colts	45c	45,000$20,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,750	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Colts	44c	39,382$17,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,049.13	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Colts	44c	37,168$16,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,872.19	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Colts	44c	35,000$15,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,600	100	26%26 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Chargers	54c	34,309$18,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,693.24	611	48.6%297 W · 314 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Chargers	55c	30,946$17,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,020.56	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+4.2wins	+0.27per pick	55cpaid	+147.6%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Colts	42c	30,000$12,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,399.96	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Colts	43c	26,127$11,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,875.41	313	50.2%157 W · 156 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Chargers	55c	25,000$13,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,750	259	56.8%147 W · 112 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Chargers	16c	22,767$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Chargers	54c	22,502$12,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,166.37	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Chargers	14c	20,885$2,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,997.39	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Colts	43c	20,000$8,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,400	249	57%142 W · 107 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Colts	42c	20,000$8,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,600	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Chargers	55c	20,000$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Colts	43c	19,000$8,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,812.5	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Colts	44c	18,000$7,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,079.88	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chargers	6c	15,687$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.73	206	34.5%71 W · 135 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Chargers	19c	15,646$3,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,006.42	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-12.1wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-39%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Chargers	7c	12,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	+20.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Chargers	52c	11,540$5,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,947.19	116	49.1%57 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Chargers	18c	11,410$2,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,043.37	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Colts	46c	10,345$4,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,582.3	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Colts	43c	10,000$4,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,700	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Colts	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,599.98	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Chargers	53c	9,829$5,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,249.38	343	49.3%169 W · 174 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Chargers	6c	9,776$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.79	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x052c…404ebacked Colts	52c	9,639$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,638.88	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Colts	43c	9,000$3,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,130	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Colts	43c	7,856$3,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,469.15	412	48.5%200 W · 212 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Chargers	56c	7,143$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	131	42%55 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Chargers	37c	7,021$2,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,566.15	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Chargers	2c	6,779$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.16	196	9.2%18 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Colts	45c	6,667$2,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,679.33	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Chargers	45c	6,667$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+17%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd332…7d80backed Colts	79c	6,500$5,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-58%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Colts	46c	6,451$2,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,451.63	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Colts	43c	6,398$2,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,647.09	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Colts	43c	6,331$2,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,608.9	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Colts	55c	6,065$3,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,708.78	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Colts	43c	6,000$2,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,419.96	39	79.5%31 W · 8 L	+7.2wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Colts	62c	5,534$3,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,103.08	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chargers	15c	5,029$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.66	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Colts	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Colts	44c	4,545$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,545.45	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Colts	44c	4,545$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,545.45	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Chargers	57c	4,544$2,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,590	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Colts	43c	4,500$1,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,565	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Chargers	6c	4,373$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.02	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Chargers	42c	3,722$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,555	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Chargers	54c	3,436$1,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855.63	320	50.9%163 W · 157 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Chargers	9c	3,418$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.48	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c3…bee0backed Colts	44c	3,229$1,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,808.13	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+103.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Colts	45c	3,172$1,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.02	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Chargers	7c	3,036$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.12	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	+6.5wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Colts	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa472…45aebacked Colts	43c	3,000$1,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,710	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Chargers	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Chargers	15c	2,986$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.18	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Colts	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.18	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x254e…0a56backed Chargers	30c	2,906$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.68	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Colts	65c	2,879$1,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.31	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chargers	55c	2,864$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Chargers	39c	2,761$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Colts	44c	2,750$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,539.98	265	47.2%125 W · 140 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2be…903dbacked Colts	44c	2,737$1,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,532.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Chargers	1c	2,682$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.92	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f00…058bbacked Colts	44c	2,671$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495.59	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+88.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Colts	76c	2,664$2,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.24	69	60.9%42 W · 27 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1739…9c47backed Chargers	57c	2,625$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Chargers	53c	2,612$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.49	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Chargers	1c	2,600$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	101	3%3 W · 98 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54cd…c2c4backed Colts	44c	2,475$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,386.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Chargers	22c	2,314$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.59	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7f…6154backed Chargers	57c	2,167$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,235.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colts	60c	2,081$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.04	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2492…8c31backed Chargers	16c	2,027$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.72	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Chargers	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Colts	48c	1,991$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038.34	240	54.6%131 W · 109 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f81…a5a4backed Chargers	57c	1,981$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9737…38a5backed Chargers	40c	1,963$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee0…9b26backed Chargers	57c	1,939$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Chargers	2c	1,917$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Chargers	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.9	140	35%49 W · 91 L	-12.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Colts	47c	1,798$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.95	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colts vs. Chargers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event