TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x052c…404e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8,867.92
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+78.1%+$7,811.61
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.8%+$4,638.88
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+90.4%+$4,518.81
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$3,928.57
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,921.42
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Broncos vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Spread: Saints (-1.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,970
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,602Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$2,397.64
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$920
Spread: SF (-1.5)backed SF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,350
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,050
Spread: PHI (-6.5)backed PHI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$818.18
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. Rice: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96%+$9,596.22
Spread: Missouri State (-3.5)backed Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$3,122.45
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$7,220.87
Spread: Alabama (-8.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+86.6%+$1,212.96
Tulsa vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+80.5%+$5,634.17
UL Monroe vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Spread: Iowa (-3.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$3,442.8
Rutgers vs. Washington: O/U 61.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$4,615.38
Spread: Fresno State (-6.5)backed Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Southern Miss (-3.5)backed Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,576.75
Blue Devils vs. Golden: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,990Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+98%+$4,891.37
O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Spread: Western Michigan (-12.5)backed Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+94.4%+$9,442.31
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$1,250
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$608.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+125.4%+$4,515.94
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16,350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+161.4%+$26,384.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.