College Football · resolved market
Spread: Alabama (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe14941fa23065115da47cd80fe38460a8890d00b92403777ebc88d243bd94773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabamaof Alabama, Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Alabama | 51c | 3,703$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.43 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…404ebacked Alabama | 54c | 2,613$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tennessee | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee | 49c | 1,506$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.94 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tennessee | 46c | 1,343$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.58 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Tennessee | 47c | 1,010$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.91 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Alabama | 50c | 601$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tennessee | 50c | 512$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tennessee | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Tennessee | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Alabama | 50c | 329$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Tennessee | 46c | 287.38$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tennessee | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Alabama | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Tennessee | 46c | 210.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Tennessee | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Alabama | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Tennessee | 52c | 171.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Alabama | 52c | 163$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Tennessee | 48c | 163$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Alabama | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Alabama | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Tennessee | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tennessee | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Alabama | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Alabama | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Tennessee | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…0633backed Alabama | 54c | 46.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed Alabama | 54c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama (-8.5)this page
- O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama (-9.5)Alabama won
- Tennessee vs. AlabamaAlabama won
- Tennessee vs. Alabama: O/U 59.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.