TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f55…bae8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST16048.1%77 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$115.29
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$32.5
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$46.4
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$74.38
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$42.69
USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+139%+$55.6
Spread: Oklahoma (-4.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$116
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.