College Football · resolved market
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22cf5435e8aa797d2b032258cbe6d06ef350dcbb57c3b8a95338d1ea8690a23c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 3c | 29,469$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.49 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 52c | 27,608$14,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,257.38 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 23,486$11,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,145.12 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 3c | 11,659$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Over | 52c | 9,459$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Under | 50c | 3,260$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…2665backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 948.95$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 508$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 392.94$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 3c | 366$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 49c | 364.62$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 325.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 53c | 315.09$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e4…ba39backed Over | 51c | 207.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 50c | 198.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 50c | 104.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…8469backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…ec4abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 87.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…1de6backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.45per pick | 56cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…b3c6backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…58b3backed Under | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 20.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…0ffebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5this page
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersOregon won
- Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: 1H MoneylineOregon won
- Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Oregon (-1.5)Oregon won
- Spread: Oregon (-2.5)Oregon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.