TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1acc…35b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST3863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.22
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$18.06
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.6%+$15.12
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69%+$18.96
Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+60.6%+$12.12
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+29.5%+$21.51
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bears (-1.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.46
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+82.6%+$16.52
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: Broncos (-11.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+48.7%+$7.47
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.24
Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+75.4%+$23.37
Lions vs. Rams: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Cardinals vs. Texans: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.23
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Steelers vs. Ravens: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Steelers vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100.59
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.2%+$14.6
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Spread: Chargers (-9.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$15.1
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.14
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Utah (-14.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Duke (-3.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.1
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-8.5)backed Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)backed Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.88
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.86
Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$20.56
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$24
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$39.97
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.7%+$36.63
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$15.02
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$7.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$12.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.17
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.1%+$5.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.