NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7352d3be5138032da969ccb8618f3fd3abfa9f748fdcef7d3b5e5e67228eecb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Timberwolves, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,696,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,815,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,696,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,075 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 26c | 102,878$26,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,510.4 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 13c | 97,633$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Thunder | 73c | 68,066$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,065.72 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Timberwolves | 9c | 46,191$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.19 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 40,994$11,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,063.77 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Timberwolves | 25c | 39,116$9,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,764.26 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Timberwolves | 21c | 33,099$7,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,073.11 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 21c | 30,499$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,424.93 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 30,311$6,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,685.68 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Thunder | 75c | 30,127$22,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,411.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Timberwolves | 27c | 26,045$7,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,138.56 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 15c | 25,456$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Timberwolves | 21c | 24,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.98 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 25c | 22,775$5,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 17c | 19,286$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.26 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Thunder | 78c | 18,496$14,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.03 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 16,426$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.88 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 20c | 15,954$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Thunder | 79c | 15,365$12,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.65 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Thunder | 77c | 15,000$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…a1debacked Timberwolves | 22c | 14,684$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 20c | 14,674$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.54 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Timberwolves | 21c | 14,400$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.96 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 76c | 13,795$10,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.31 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 12,875$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.43 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 23c | 12,574$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 80c | 12,143$9,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.95 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 21c | 12,087$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 76c | 11,405$8,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.03 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 74c | 10,500$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Timberwolves | 20c | 10,332$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.39 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 80c | 10,300$8,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Thunder | 79c | 10,000$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder | 70c | 9,513$6,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.95 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves | 19c | 9,160$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.9 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Timberwolves | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.01 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 72c | 9,065$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.06 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 72c | 8,893$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.49 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…7e38backed Thunder | 77c | 8,400$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 79c | 8,266$6,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.17 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 80c | 7,790$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.65 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Thunder | 77c | 7,760$6,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Thunder | 78c | 7,135$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 7,073$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.62 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 80c | 6,964$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.4 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Thunder | 79c | 6,923$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.75 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Thunder | 75c | 6,416$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.01 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Timberwolves | 17c | 6,410$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.67 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 71c | 5,969$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.85 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Timberwolves | 24c | 5,735$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.48 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 77c | 5,555$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.87 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Timberwolves | 19c | 5,547$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.93 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…2848backed Thunder | 78c | 5,484$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Thunder | 79c | 5,232$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.84 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…8a03backed Timberwolves | 25c | 5,200$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Thunder | 77c | 5,141$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.52 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 78c | 5,130$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.7 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 24c | 5,100$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Thunder | 79c | 5,070$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed Thunder | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.29 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Timberwolves | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…1c2ebacked Thunder | 78c | 4,950$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Thunder | 78c | 4,744$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.59 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Thunder | 76c | 4,413$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.6 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 4,005$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.95 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 25c | 4,000$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.68 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9909…b90cbacked Thunder | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 26c | 3,997$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.22 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Timberwolves | 12c | 3,940$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.98 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Thunder | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 79c | 3,590$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.84 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Timberwolves | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Timberwolves | 19c | 3,571$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.62 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Thunder | 80c | 3,479$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.8 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Thunder | 80c | 3,467$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.42 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Thunder | 76c | 3,420$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.73 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Thunder | 59c | 3,362$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.97 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Timberwolves | 25c | 3,270$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.31 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Timberwolves | 16c | 3,124$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.81 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Timberwolves | 22c | 2,963$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.9 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 2,822$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.82 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Timberwolves | 21c | 2,707$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.82 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Timberwolves | 22c | 2,649$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.81 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Timberwolves | 19c | 2,640$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…551ebacked Timberwolves | 24c | 2,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 22c | 2,560$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thunder | 79c | 2,500$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Timberwolves | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Timberwolves | 28c | 2,339$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.61 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…4994backed Timberwolves | 4c | 2,326$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Thunder | 74c | 2,284$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.95 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Timberwolves | 12c | 2,222$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves | 38c | 2,128$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.03 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Thunder | 77c | 2,103$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.79 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Timberwolves | 22c | 2,100$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Timberwolves | 30c | 2,077$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.32 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Timberwolves | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed Thunder | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Thunderthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.