TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x387c…a6db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT5642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.18
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+103.9%+$103.92
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$742
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$880
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.92
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$297
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,581
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+82.3%+$838.33
Rockies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$131.75
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,962.1
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,547Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,167.01
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Padres vs. Nationalsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Yankees vs. Bravesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Royals vs. Marlinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Angels vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.4
White Sox vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.34
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.2
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,361.95
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$895
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$168
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$237
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$62.97
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$604.85
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+244.8%+$284
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$147
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,505.62
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,585Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+132.1%+$3,414.98
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.99
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$188
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$180
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$620
Will the Timberwolves beat the Thunder 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$405
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,542Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+77.8%+$1,199.92
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Jets vs. Sabresbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Utah vs. Bluesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$98.25
Jets vs. Hurricanesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$62
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,400
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Bluesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,840
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$825
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.5
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.99
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$217.75
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$558.85
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+237.8%+$527.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+40%+$42.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$265.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$122
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.