TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild43c130,409$56,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,249.811,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Oilers57c53,895$30,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,720.1716645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Oilers31c40,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,40042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Oilers57c33,729$19,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,225.81825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Oilers57c26,000$14,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,819.9910050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers57c11,999$6,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,880.591,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Oilers58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80022550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Oilers57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9732946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Wild43c8,140$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.6385250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Wild42c5,861$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.3810554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Wild75c4,888$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.1138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Wild43c4,843$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.5124654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wild42c4,800$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.761,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Oilers3c4,720$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6129926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Oilers57c4,141$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.4833652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Oilers57c4,058$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.0638844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Oilers57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9651045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oilers55c3,836$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.041,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild71c3,740$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.0775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Wild43c3,700$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10922946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Wild42c3,586$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.8830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Wild42c3,442$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.6428353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Oilers30c3,393$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.0727143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Oilers59c3,390$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Oilers57c3,362$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.8227548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Wild42c3,297$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.318354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oilers57c2,646$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.4289547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9470…7790backed Oilers59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers58c2,443$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Oilers1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Oilers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14026955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers58c1,936$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.881,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Oilers58c1,907$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.3230152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Oilers58c1,898$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.656443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Wild43c1,651$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1626946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Wild43c1,428$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Wild43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79824845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Wild43c1,395$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.3514148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Oilers58c1,345$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78015954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Oilers58c1,315$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.2562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wild50c1,297$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.672,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild72c1,288$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.593,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wild43c1,250$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.518547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild43c1,232$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.241,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Oilers59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7082250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7943743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wild44c1,057$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.151,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Oilers57c1,044$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.383652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Oilers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Wild43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Oilers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5804134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Wild43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2330946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Wild43c930$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.120144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Wild47c904.96$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7338744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Oilers34c887.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010250%51 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Oilers55c874.96$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7348050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wild43c860$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.251452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…3ad0backed Wild54c842.98$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Oilers58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46424347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaad…5947backed Wild43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4561861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wild66c770.68$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3495049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4b…cb54backed Oilers56c750$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Oilers57c750$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Oilers58c743.91$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.472740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Oilers17c583$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9518840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Wild43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.44045%18 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers57c578$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.4675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Wild67c574.56$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.566547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers56c532.62$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.51,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Wild42c530$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.441248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wild43c527.5$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.021,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Wild70c514.74$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.747317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc465…25b5backed Oilers34c508.17$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Oilers57c500$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2861,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Oilers57c499.77$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8719942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Oilers20c495$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9941340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c0…e3d9backed Wild43c464.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.842846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Oilers58c456$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4887447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9af…cc49backed Oilers58c450$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abb…8e60backed Oilers58c449.72$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.841764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c01…6eb8backed Wild43c448.84$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Wild43c444$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0831148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69df…8262backed Wild51c408.66$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild51c405.98$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.491,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Wild43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22811253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Oilers57c384.01$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1627544%121 W · 154 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Oilers50c370.44$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1871850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Wild42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.141233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Wild42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3335…3656backed Oilers58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Oilers15c350$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Wild44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.917347.9%35 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Oilers38c339.88$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4260141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc007…1639backed Wild42c338.83$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.525651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Oilers58c334.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.948452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Wild61c328.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.275240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild51c309.23$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Wild42c306.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9111447.4%54 W · 60 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.