TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ee0…5233

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,062
Oilers vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$497.82
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$331.36
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$458.2
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$667
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$494.8
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$968
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$924.7
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$495.5
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$488
Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$479
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,326
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$480.19
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$493
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$708
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+146.1%+$495.44
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$284
Canadiens vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,046Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$1,244.24
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$623
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$107.53
Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$4,692
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$170.5
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$262.9
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$308.62
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,646Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$672.21
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$430
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$66.46
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$433
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$439
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$549.16
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$3,143
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,581.85
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$939.36
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,744Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$747.43
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$295.08
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$326.42
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,225.81
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$477
Spread: Texans (-9.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$421.7
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,061
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$989
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,558Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$492
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$199.33
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$238.19
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$439
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$388.73
Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$439
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$141.93
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$552.38
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.78
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$235.18
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$107.39
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 128.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$126.18
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.51
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$635.73
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-18.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$466.77
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$59.11
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,438Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$587.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+29.9%+$43.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Song Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$114.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.