TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alcorn State Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsof Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, Alcorn State Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,104 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Alcorn State Braves1c3,424$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Alcorn State Braves45c3,394$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.449244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions55c3,363$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.532,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions54c2,089$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.982,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Alcorn State Braves25c1,926$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.131,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Alcorn State Braves47c1,578$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.071,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions57c1,478$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.73875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions70c1,299$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.452,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alcorn State Braves18c738.14$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.375,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Alcorn State Braves45c674.08$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.261,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Alcorn State Braves47c632.73$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.381,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alcorn State Braves48c627.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.464,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions53c417.94$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.741,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions77c394.71$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions55c346.73$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.491,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Alcorn State Braves46c336.05$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9525837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Alcorn State Braves48c318.07$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6826749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions53c299.42$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7149157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Alcorn State Braves48c248.05$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.981,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Alcorn State Braves45c220.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0892246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Alcorn State Braves50c213.84$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9262140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Alcorn State Braves48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Alcorn State Braves47c199.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.891,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c198.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1675447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Alcorn State Braves45c191.54$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Alcorn State Braves20c185.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.671,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions56c176.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.663151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alcorn State Braves43c157.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8137441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alcorn State Braves15c150.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.683,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c142.28$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2925946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Alcorn State Braves45c126.54$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9412147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Alcorn State Braves13c120.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Alcorn State Braves44c110.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions56c109.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1443053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions54c109.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7982846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…e488backed Alcorn State Braves48c103.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.562755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Alcorn State Braves47c99.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5916721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Alcorn State Braves47c96.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…7824backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions53c93.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.952748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions56c88.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions75c85.71$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4325337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions56c85.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7713447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Alcorn State Braves45c83.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4720834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions53c74.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c66.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0358652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions53c65.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7714049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions56c61.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c58.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2989645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alcorn State Braves30c56.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions57c52.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.449554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions68c50.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Alcorn State Braves45c50.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7511840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9233445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Alcorn State Braves48c49.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.798834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Alcorn State Braves45c43.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6361244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alcorn State Braves41c37.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions53c37.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.562133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Alcorn State Braves45c35.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.155547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c28.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.830050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c28.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.848551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe0…947cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions54c28.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Alcorn State Braves44c27.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.97865.4%51 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72ab…8d29backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions57c26.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions72c20.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7952353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.49353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.536253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c19.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5211051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.